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Aurrera de Vitoria vs Touring KE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Erdozia J.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Martinez M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aurrera de Vitoria
30%
Draws
27%
Touring KE
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aurrera de Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Aurrera de Vitoria have won more games recently than Touring KE.
  • Win probability leans Aurrera de Vitoria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Aurrera de Vitoria Clean Sheet 20%
Touring KE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurrera de Vitoria Touring KE
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Touring KE
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Touring KE
0:2
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Aurrera de Vitoria
0:0
Mar 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Aurrera de Vitoria
4:0
Nov 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Touring KE
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurrera de Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Touring KE Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurrera de Vitoria 85 / 100
Touring KE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurrera de Vitoria Touring KE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurrera de Vitoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Aurrera de Vitoria stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Aurrera de Vitoria found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Touring KE has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aurrera de Vitoria VS Touring KE
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurrera de Vitoria

(Home)
03 Oct
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Erandio
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
Alaves C
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
05 Sept
Amurrio Club
1 : 2
Aurrera de Vitoria
Page 1 of 6

Touring KE

(Away)
03 Oct
Touring KE
2 : 2
SCD Durango
26 Sept
Alaves C
1 : 2
Touring KE
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0
Beasain
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1
UD Aretxabaleta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 5 4 1 0 10:4 13
2 Derio 5 3 2 0 7:2 11
3 Pasaia 5 3 1 1 7:6 10
4 Leioa 5 2 3 0 12:6 9
5 Real Sociedad C 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Touring KE 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 UD Aretxabaleta 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
8 Alaves C 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
9 Lagun Onak 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
10 SCD Durango 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
11 SD Erandio 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
12 San Ignacio 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
13 Eibar C 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
14 Real Union B 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
15 Sodupe 5 1 2 2 4:9 5
16 Beasain 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
17 Santurtzi 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
18 Amurrio Club 5 0 1 4 1:12 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)