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Aurrera Ondarroa vs CD Ariznabarra

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aurrera Ondarroa in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurrera Ondarroa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aurrera Ondarroa
15%
Draws
49%
CD Ariznabarra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Ariznabarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aurrera Ondarroa lately — more wins on the board than CD Ariznabarra.
  • Aurrera Ondarroa are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Aurrera Ondarroa Clean Sheet 14%
CD Ariznabarra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurrera Ondarroa CD Ariznabarra
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.88 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Ariznabarra vs Aurrera Ondarroa
1:2
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs CD Ariznabarra
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurrera Ondarroa 41 / 100
CD Ariznabarra 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurrera Ondarroa CD Ariznabarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ariznabarra let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: CD Ariznabarra registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aurrera Ondarroa scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aurrera Ondarroa VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurrera Ondarroa

(Home)
11 May
Urduliz FT
1 : 3
Aurrera Ondarroa
05 May
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 2
Basconia
01 May
Anorga
3 : 2
Aurrera Ondarroa
27 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 3
Alaves C
20 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Aurrera Ondarroa
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CD Ariznabarra

(Away)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1
CD Ariznabarra
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1
Urgatzi
22 May
Tolosa
4 : 0
CD Ariznabarra
16 May
CD Ariznabarra
1 : 2
Aurrera Ondarroa
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