Sport Picks
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Urduliz FT
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 
Match Events
20'
20'
Cabieces E.
31'
31'
Larranaga I. A.
44'
44'
Txakartegi A. M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Aurrera Ondarroa and Urduliz FT finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urduliz FT
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Urduliz FT carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Aurrera Ondarroa Clean Sheet 68%
Urduliz FT Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aurrera Ondarroa | Urduliz FT |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Aurrera Ondarroa
1:3
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Urduliz FT
2:2
Jan 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Aurrera Ondarroa
1:1
Sep 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Urduliz FT
0:0
Jan 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Urduliz FT
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aurrera Ondarroa Compare
Top Goalscorer Larranaga I. A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Txakartegi A. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Urduliz FT Compare
Top Goalscorer Cabieces E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fernandez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aurrera Ondarroa 42 / 100
Urduliz FT 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aurrera Ondarroa Urduliz FT
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Urduliz FT's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Aurrera Ondarroa's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Solid form: Aurrera Ondarroa remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Urduliz FT
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Aurrera Ondarroa
(Home) 11 May
Urduliz FT
1 : 3 Aurrera Ondarroa
05 May
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 2 Basconia
01 May
Anorga
3 : 2 Aurrera Ondarroa
27 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 3 Alaves C
20 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0 Aurrera Ondarroa
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 2 Basconia
27 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 3 Alaves C
13 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 0 Leioa
28 Mar
Aurrera Ondarroa
0 : 1 Lagun Onak
16 Mar
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 0 Pasaia
Page 1 of 3
Urduliz FT
(Away) 10 May
Urduliz FT
0 : 0 Beasain
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 2 Urduliz FT
27 Apr
Urduliz FT
2 : 0 San Ignacio
17 Apr
Basconia
8 : 0 Urduliz FT
12 Apr
Urduliz FT
3 : 1 Leioa
Page 1 of 7
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 2 Urduliz FT
17 Apr
Basconia
8 : 0 Urduliz FT
06 Apr
UD Aretxabaleta
1 : 1 Urduliz FT
23 Mar
Portugalete
6 : 1 Urduliz FT
08 Mar
Touring KE
1 : 0 Urduliz FT
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Vitoria | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 65:17 | 82 |
| 2 | Basconia | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 54:32 | 64 |
| 3 | Beasain | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 55:36 | 63 |
| 4 | SD Deusto | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 45:29 | 61 |
| 5 | Portugalete | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 54:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 43:33 | 57 |
| 7 | SCD Durango | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 47:47 | 50 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 49:44 | 47 |
| 9 | Leioa | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 46:51 | 45 |
| 10 | Urduliz FT | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:47 | 42 |
| 11 | Derio | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Alaves C | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:42 | 40 |
| 13 | Touring KE | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 14 | Padura | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 23:42 | 34 |
| 16 | Anaitasuna FT | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:51 | 32 |
| 17 | Aurrera Ondarroa | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 26:54 | 24 |
| 18 | Anorga | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 31:64 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
