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Aurrera Ondarroa vs Zalla UC

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016 game between Aurrera Ondarroa and Zalla UC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zalla UC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Aurrera Ondarroa
15%
Draws
57%
Zalla UC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalla UC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zalla UC come out ahead of Aurrera Ondarroa on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Zalla UC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Aurrera Ondarroa Clean Sheet 13%
Zalla UC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurrera Ondarroa Zalla UC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.81 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs Aurrera Ondarroa
2:0
Sep 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Zalla UC
1:0
Jan 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Zalla UC
0:1
Sep 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs Aurrera Ondarroa
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurrera Ondarroa 31 / 100
Zalla UC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurrera Ondarroa Zalla UC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zalla UC conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Away concern: Zalla UC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Aurrera Ondarroa found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Aurrera Ondarroa VS Zalla UC
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurrera Ondarroa

(Home)
11 May
Urduliz FT
1 : 3
Aurrera Ondarroa
05 May
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 2
Basconia
01 May
Anorga
3 : 2
Aurrera Ondarroa
27 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 3
Alaves C
20 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Aurrera Ondarroa
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Zalla UC

(Away)
04 Sept
Zalla UC
0 : 2
Barakaldo
13 May
Zalla UC
4 : 1
Pasaia
06 May
Portugalete
2 : 1
Zalla UC
29 Apr
Zalla UC
1 : 2
Beasain
22 Apr
Zalla UC
2 : 0
Bermeo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamudio 38 22 8 8 65:40 74
2 Bermeo 38 19 10 9 57:35 67
3 Lagun Onak 38 17 15 6 39:26 66
4 Balmaseda 38 18 10 10 50:35 64
5 Beasain 38 17 12 9 54:36 63
6 CD Vitoria 38 17 10 11 47:32 61
7 Santutxu FC 38 14 11 13 39:33 53
8 Pasaia 38 15 8 15 36:48 53
9 Zalla UC 38 13 13 12 54:43 52
10 SCD Durango 38 11 17 10 29:34 50
11 Deportivo Getxo 38 12 12 14 43:38 48
12 Alaves B 38 13 9 16 54:52 48
13 Real Sociedad C 38 12 11 15 45:48 47
14 Basconia 38 13 8 17 53:62 47
15 Santurtzi 38 10 15 13 40:46 45
16 SD Deusto 38 10 15 13 38:46 45
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 11 8 19 50:76 41
18 Aurrera de Vitoria 38 8 14 16 33:50 38
19 CD Betono 38 7 11 20 36:56 32
20 UD Aretxabaleta 38 5 15 18 34:60 30
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)