Sport Picks

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Aurul Brad vs Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 7 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aurul Brad play Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti in the Liga 3 - Seria 7 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aurul Brad averaged 1.55 goals scored and 2.68 conceded. Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti averaged 1.02 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. In past meetings, Aurul Brad won 1, Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 4, 2022 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Aurul Brad and 0.93 for Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti. This points to a Aurul Brad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Aurul Brad
15%
Draws
41%
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurul Brad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Aurul Brad picked up more points recently compared to Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Aurul Brad Clean Sheet 24%
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurul Brad Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti
Matches Played 31 45
Wins 10 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 28
Goals Scored 1.55 1.02
Goals Conceded 2.68 2.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Aurul Brad vs Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti
1:2
Sep 2, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti vs Aurul Brad
4:3
May 7, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti vs Aurul Brad
1:0
Apr 9, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Aurul Brad vs Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti
3:0
Nov 27, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti vs Aurul Brad
5:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurul Brad 44 / 100
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurul Brad Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aurul Brad or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aurul Brad attacking → ← attacking Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurul Brad scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti let in goals in 89% of their last 45 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Aurul Brad went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 39
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CSM Deva18144062:946
2CSO Filiasi18121545:2837
3Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti18113431:2336
4Viitorul Simian18111649:2934
5Jiul Petrosani1884631:2128
6Vointa Lupac1883730:2327
7Aurul Brad18421227:5614
8Retezatul Hateg18341123:3413
9Viitorul Targu Jiu II18321319:6211
10Progresul Ezeris18241211:4310