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Austin Bold vs New Mexico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship 2021
Austin Bold Logo

Austin Bold

1 - 1
FT
New Mexico Logo

New Mexico

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Tinari A.
37' Event
Wehan C.
46'
Sub
Yearwood A. In: Suggs J.
Out: Yearwood A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Austin Bold
35%
Draws
46%
New Mexico
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: New Mexico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • New Mexico have won more games recently than Austin Bold.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on New Mexico taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Austin Bold Clean Sheet 12%
New Mexico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin Bold New Mexico
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 15
Draws 11 12
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2021 USL Championship
Austin Bold vs New Mexico
1:0
Aug 24, 2021 USL Championship
Austin Bold vs New Mexico
1:1
Jun 13, 2021 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Austin Bold
0:0
May 16, 2021 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Austin Bold
3:1
Jul 18, 2020 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Austin Bold
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austin Bold Compare

Top Goalscorer Avila R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

New Mexico Compare

Top Goalscorer Wehan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin Bold 27 / 100
New Mexico 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin Bold New Mexico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Mexico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Austin Bold scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

New Mexico has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Austin Bold remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS New Mexico
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Austin Bold

(Home)
31 Oct
Austin Bold
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
24 Oct
San Antonio FC
0 : 0
Austin Bold
21 Oct
El Paso Locomotive
3 : 0
Austin Bold
16 Oct
Real Monarchs
4 : 3
Austin Bold
14 Oct
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1
Austin Bold
Page 1 of 6

New Mexico

(Away)
04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1
Phoenix Rising
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
New Mexico
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3
Sacramento Republic
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
New Mexico
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4
New Mexico
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phoenix Rising 32 20 7 5 68:35 67
2 El Paso Locomotive 32 18 10 4 56:34 64
3 Orange County SC 32 15 7 10 44:37 52
4 San Antonio FC 32 14 10 8 50:38 52
5 Colorado Springs 32 13 10 9 60:50 49
6 San Diego Loyal 32 14 6 12 51:43 48
7 Rio Grande Valley FC Toros 32 13 8 11 49:42 47
8 New Mexico 32 12 10 10 44:40 46
9 Austin Bold 32 10 12 10 32:42 42
10 Oakland Roots 32 11 8 13 36:43 41
11 Ventura County 32 11 6 15 55:57 39
12 Tacoma Defiance 32 10 9 13 37:41 39
13 Sacramento Republic 32 8 12 12 36:42 36
14 Real Monarchs 32 5 7 20 28:56 22
15 Las Vegas Lights 32 6 3 23 41:77 21
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 32 23 2 7 55:23 71
2 Louisville City 32 18 7 7 61:37 61
3 Birmingham Legion 32 18 6 8 51:31 60
4 Charlotte Independence 32 18 5 9 57:36 59
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 32 17 7 8 52:34 58
6 Miami FC 32 16 6 10 55:40 54
7 Memphis 901 32 14 8 10 47:42 50
8 FC Tulsa 32 14 5 13 49:48 47
9 Hartford Athletic 32 12 5 15 50:50 41
10 Charleston 32 10 7 15 49:60 37
11 Oklahoma City Energy FC 32 8 13 11 30:38 37
12 Indy Eleven 32 9 8 15 32:47 35
13 Atlanta United 2 32 8 10 14 47:56 34
14 New York Red Bulls II 32 7 7 18 42:67 28
15 Sporting Kansas City II 32 4 8 20 33:64 20
16 Loudoun United 32 4 3 25 31:78 15
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 32 23 2 7 55:23 71
2 Charlotte Independence 32 18 5 9 57:36 59
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 32 17 7 8 52:34 58
4 Miami FC 32 16 6 10 55:40 54
5 Hartford Athletic 32 12 5 15 50:50 41
6 Charleston 32 10 7 15 49:60 37
7 New York Red Bulls II 32 7 7 18 42:67 28
8 Loudoun United 32 4 3 25 31:78 15
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louisville City 32 18 7 7 61:37 61
2 Birmingham Legion 32 18 6 8 51:31 60
3 Memphis 901 32 14 8 10 47:42 50
4 FC Tulsa 32 14 5 13 49:48 47
5 Oklahoma City Energy FC 32 8 13 11 30:38 37
6 Indy Eleven 32 9 8 15 32:47 35
7 Atlanta United 2 32 8 10 14 47:56 34
8 Sporting Kansas City II 32 4 8 20 33:64 20
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phoenix Rising 32 20 7 5 68:35 67
2 Orange County SC 32 15 7 10 44:37 52
3 San Diego Loyal 32 14 6 12 51:43 48
4 Oakland Roots 32 11 8 13 36:43 41
5 Ventura County 32 11 6 15 55:57 39
6 Tacoma Defiance 32 10 9 13 37:41 39
7 Sacramento Republic 32 8 12 12 36:42 36
8 Las Vegas Lights 32 6 3 23 41:77 21
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 32 18 10 4 56:34 64
2 San Antonio FC 32 14 10 8 50:38 52
3 Colorado Springs 32 13 10 9 60:50 49
4 Rio Grande Valley FC Toros 32 13 8 11 49:42 47
5 New Mexico 32 12 10 10 44:40 46
6 Austin Bold 32 10 12 10 32:42 42
7 Real Monarchs 32 5 7 20 28:56 22
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)