Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Gordon O.
46'
46'
Sub
Tetteh R. In: Schmidt J.
Out: Tetteh R.
54'
54'
Garcia F.
AI Match Summary
Austin Bold in this USL Championship 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Austin Bold.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Mexico
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- New Mexico have won more games recently than Austin Bold.
- New Mexico are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship 2021 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Austin Bold Clean Sheet 19%
New Mexico Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Austin Bold | New Mexico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2021 USL Championship
Austin Bold vs New Mexico
1:0
Aug 24, 2021 USL Championship
Austin Bold vs New Mexico
1:1
Jun 13, 2021 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Austin Bold
0:0
May 16, 2021 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Austin Bold
3:1
Jul 18, 2020 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Austin Bold
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Austin Bold 10 / 100
New Mexico 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Austin Bold New Mexico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Austin Bold scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: New Mexico conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Solid form: Austin Bold remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS New Mexico
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Austin Bold
(Home) 31 Oct
Austin Bold
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
24 Oct
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Austin Bold
21 Oct
El Paso Locomotive
3 : 0 Austin Bold
16 Oct
Real Monarchs
4 : 3 Austin Bold
14 Oct
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1 Austin Bold
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Austin Bold
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
11 Oct
Austin Bold
1 : 1 Oklahoma City Energy FC
07 Oct
Austin Bold
1 : 0 Tacoma Defiance
23 Sept
Austin Bold
2 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
11 Sept
Austin Bold
1 : 0 New Mexico
Page 1 of 4
New Mexico
(Away) 15 Jul
Lexington
1 : 4 New Mexico
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2 New Mexico
05 Jul
New Mexico
2 : 1 Oakland Roots
02 Jul
New Mexico
3 : 3 Atlante
21 Jun
Sacramento Republic
0 : 1 New Mexico
Page 1 of 7
15 Jul
Lexington
1 : 4 New Mexico
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2 New Mexico
21 Jun
Sacramento Republic
0 : 1 New Mexico
30 May
Hartford Athletic
0 : 0 New Mexico
17 May
Colorado Springs
4 : 0 New Mexico
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix Rising | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:35 | 67 |
| 2 | El Paso Locomotive | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 56:34 | 64 |
| 3 | Orange County SC | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 44:37 | 52 |
| 4 | San Antonio FC | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 50:38 | 52 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 60:50 | 49 |
| 6 | San Diego Loyal | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 51:43 | 48 |
| 7 | Rio Grande Valley FC Toros | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 49:42 | 47 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 44:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Austin Bold | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 32:42 | 42 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 36:43 | 41 |
| 11 | Ventura County | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 55:57 | 39 |
| 12 | Tacoma Defiance | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:41 | 39 |
| 13 | Sacramento Republic | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 36:42 | 36 |
| 14 | Real Monarchs | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28:56 | 22 |
| 15 | Las Vegas Lights | 32 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 41:77 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 32 | 23 | 2 | 7 | 55:23 | 71 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 61:37 | 61 |
| 3 | Birmingham Legion | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 51:31 | 60 |
| 4 | Charlotte Independence | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 57:36 | 59 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 52:34 | 58 |
| 6 | Miami FC | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 55:40 | 54 |
| 7 | Memphis 901 | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47:42 | 50 |
| 8 | FC Tulsa | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 49:48 | 47 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 50:50 | 41 |
| 10 | Charleston | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 49:60 | 37 |
| 11 | Oklahoma City Energy FC | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 12 | Indy Eleven | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 35 |
| 13 | Atlanta United 2 | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 47:56 | 34 |
| 14 | New York Red Bulls II | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 42:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City II | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 33:64 | 20 |
| 16 | Loudoun United | 32 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 31:78 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 32 | 23 | 2 | 7 | 55:23 | 71 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 57:36 | 59 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 52:34 | 58 |
| 4 | Miami FC | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 55:40 | 54 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 50:50 | 41 |
| 6 | Charleston | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 49:60 | 37 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls II | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 42:67 | 28 |
| 8 | Loudoun United | 32 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 31:78 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisville City | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 61:37 | 61 |
| 2 | Birmingham Legion | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 51:31 | 60 |
| 3 | Memphis 901 | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47:42 | 50 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 49:48 | 47 |
| 5 | Oklahoma City Energy FC | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 35 |
| 7 | Atlanta United 2 | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 47:56 | 34 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City II | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 33:64 | 20 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix Rising | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:35 | 67 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 44:37 | 52 |
| 3 | San Diego Loyal | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 51:43 | 48 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 36:43 | 41 |
| 5 | Ventura County | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 55:57 | 39 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:41 | 39 |
| 7 | Sacramento Republic | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 36:42 | 36 |
| 8 | Las Vegas Lights | 32 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 41:77 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 56:34 | 64 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 50:38 | 52 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 60:50 | 49 |
| 4 | Rio Grande Valley FC Toros | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 49:42 | 47 |
| 5 | New Mexico | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 44:40 | 46 |
| 6 | Austin Bold | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 32:42 | 42 |
| 7 | Real Monarchs | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28:56 | 22 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)
