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Austin FC II vs Houston Dynamo 2

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Parmer Filed, Austin, TX
Mon, Apr 13, 2026
1 - 2
12:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Ciesla D.
35'
Barro D.
41'
Silva V.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Austin FC II and Houston Dynamo 2 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Houston Dynamo 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Austin FC II
20%
Draws
38%
Houston Dynamo 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Austin FC II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Austin FC II's 2.63 goals per match outpaces what Houston Dynamo 2 have produced (2).
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Austin FC II taking it.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Houston Dynamo 2 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Austin FC II Clean Sheet 16%
Houston Dynamo 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin FC II Houston Dynamo 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 19
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.63 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Houston Dynamo 2 vs Austin FC II
2:1
Apr 13, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Houston Dynamo 2
1:2
Jul 26, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Houston Dynamo 2
2:0
May 31, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Houston Dynamo 2
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Houston Dynamo 2 vs Austin FC II
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austin FC II Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Houston Dynamo 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur Sousa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC II 41 / 100
Houston Dynamo 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin FC II Houston Dynamo 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austin FC II's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Houston Dynamo 2 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Austin FC II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Austin FC II VS Houston Dynamo 2
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Austin FC II

(Home)
26 Jul
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 1
Austin FC II
23 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 4
Austin FC II
13 Jul
Austin FC II
2 : 3
Minnesota United 2
06 Jul
Austin FC II
3 : 2
Colorado Rapids 2
28 Jun
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
Page 1 of 6

Houston Dynamo 2

(Away)
26 Jul
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 1
Austin FC II
18 Jul
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 1
Colorado Rapids 2
11 Jul
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 1
St. Louis City 2
05 Jul
Houston Dynamo 2
4 : 0
Minnesota United 2
29 Jun
Los Angeles FC 2
3 : 1
Houston Dynamo 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 220140636:3139
2New England Revolution II19120728:2236
3New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
4CT United FC19110835:3331
5New York City II1890929:2928
6Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
7Toronto FC II20801231:3825
8FC Cincinnati 219601319:3616
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Chattanooga20130739:3037
3Orlando City B20120840:3435
4Atlanta United 219100941:3033
5Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
6Huntsville City19901032:3528
7Carolina Core21601527:3721
8Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 220130726:2340
2Ventura County20120837:2735
3Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
4Tacoma Defiance201001025:2730
5San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
6Real Monarchs201001031:3626
7Vancouver Whitecaps 221701426:4519
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II19140541:1744
2Houston Dynamo 218150340:1642
3St. Louis City 2201001031:3330
4Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
5North Texas18801029:2326
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 220301718:3912
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Columbus Crew 220140636:3139
3Chattanooga20130739:3037
4New England Revolution II19120728:2236
5Orlando City B20120840:3435
6Atlanta United 219100941:3033
7New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
8CT United FC19110835:3331
9Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
10New York City II1890929:2928
11Huntsville City19901032:3528
12Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
13Toronto FC II20801231:3825
14Carolina Core21601527:3721
15FC Cincinnati 219601319:3616
16Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II19140541:1744
2Houston Dynamo 218150340:1642
3Portland Timbers 220130726:2340
4Ventura County20120837:2735
5Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
6Tacoma Defiance201001025:2730
7St. Louis City 2201001031:3330
8Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
9San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
10North Texas18801029:2326
11Real Monarchs201001031:3626
12Vancouver Whitecaps 221701426:4519
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 220301718:3912
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)