Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Austin FC vs Chicago Fire

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Austin FC and Chicago Fire finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Austin FC
39%
Draws
30%
Chicago Fire
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chicago Fire come out ahead of Austin FC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Chicago Fire have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 10%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin FC Chicago Fire
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Austin FC vs Chicago Fire
2:2
Feb 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Austin FC vs Chicago Fire
0:1
May 25, 2023 US Open Cup
Austin FC vs Chicago Fire
0:2
Feb 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Chicago Fire vs Austin FC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC 30 / 100
Chicago Fire 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin FC Chicago Fire

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austin FC found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Chicago Fire conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Austin FC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austin FC VS Chicago Fire
1 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%