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Austin FC vs Portland Timbers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Austin FC host Portland Timbers in the MLS. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Austin FC at 1.41 goals for, 1.75 against; Portland Timbers at 1.96 for, 1.79 against. Head-to-head, Austin FC have won 2 to Portland Timbers's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.63, favoring Portland Timbers. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Austin FC
20%
Draws
58%
Portland Timbers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portland Timbers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Austin FC have managed 1.41 goals a game lately — Portland Timbers are scoring more at 1.96.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Portland Timbers taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 14%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin FC Portland Timbers
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Austin FC
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs Portland Timbers
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Austin FC
1:0
Oct 3, 2024 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Austin FC
0:1
May 30, 2024 MLS
Austin FC vs Portland Timbers
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC 23 / 100
Portland Timbers 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin FC Portland Timbers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portland Timbers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Timbers let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Austin FC scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Austin FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austin FC VS Portland Timbers
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Austin FC

(Home)
31 Oct
Los Angeles Galaxy
4 : 1
Austin FC
29 Oct
Austin FC
1 : 2
Real Salt Lake
25 Oct
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 2
Austin FC
18 Oct
Austin FC
1 : 2
Vancouver Whitecaps
15 Oct
Los Angeles FC
3 : 1
Austin FC
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Portland Timbers

(Away)
29 Oct
St. Louis City
2 : 3
Portland Timbers
25 Oct
Portland Timbers
3 : 2
Charlotte FC
18 Oct
Portland Timbers
0 : 0
Colorado Rapids
15 Oct
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 0
Portland Timbers
11 Oct
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 3
Portland Timbers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 32 17 7 8 67:33 58
2 FC Dallas 32 15 9 8 58:49 54
3 St. Louis City 32 14 9 9 58:47 51
4 Houston Dynamo 32 14 9 9 42:39 51
5 San Jose Earthquakes 32 13 10 9 54:47 49
6 Los Angeles FC 32 12 11 9 50:35 47
7 Colorado Rapids 32 12 7 13 44:43 43
8 Seattle Sounders 32 11 10 11 41:40 43
9 Real Salt Lake 32 12 6 14 50:49 42
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 32 10 11 11 45:54 41
11 Portland Timbers 32 11 7 14 57:60 40
12 Minnesota United 32 9 11 12 50:56 38
13 San Diego FC 32 8 11 13 56:62 35
14 Austin FC 32 8 10 14 41:59 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 32 6 4 22 38:80 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 32 21 8 3 66:23 71
2 New England Revolution 32 18 4 10 54:44 58
3 Inter Miami 32 15 11 6 75:55 56
4 Chicago Fire 32 15 7 10 57:48 52
5 Charlotte FC 32 14 8 10 59:48 50
6 Philadelphia Union 32 13 8 11 62:50 47
7 Orlando City 32 12 7 13 62:74 43
8 FC Cincinnati 32 11 10 11 66:73 43
9 Columbus Crew 32 12 5 15 52:49 41
10 New York Red Bulls 32 11 6 15 43:59 39
11 Toronto FC 32 9 12 11 50:60 39
12 New York City 32 9 11 12 47:44 38
13 DC United 32 7 12 13 39:57 33
14 Atlanta United 32 8 6 18 40:56 30
15 CF Montreal 32 6 7 19 36:66 25
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)