Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Austin FC vs Puebla

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Uzuni M.
7' Event
Uzuni M.
Assist: Ramirez C.
9'
Hernandez L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Austin FC
35%
Draws
24%
Puebla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Austin FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Austin FC come out ahead of Puebla on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Austin FC taking it.
  • Austin FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Austin FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 20%
Puebla Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin FC Puebla
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.45 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Leagues Cup
Austin FC vs Puebla
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austin FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Uzuni M.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Puebla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC 58 / 100
Puebla 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin FC Puebla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austin FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puebla has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Austin FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Austin FC found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Austin FC VS Puebla
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Austin FC

(Home)
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3
San Diego FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0
Austin FC
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2
Austin FC
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
Colorado Rapids
06 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6

Puebla

(Away)
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1
Toluca
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1
Puebla
30 Aug
Club America
2 : 0
Puebla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Club America 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Juarez 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Tigres UANL 3 3 0 0 2:2 6
8 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Atlas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
12 Necaxa 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Atlante 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Atletico San Luis 3 0 0 3 5:10 1
15 UNAM Pumas 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
16 Queretaro 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
17 Club Tijuana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 Puebla 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chicago Fire 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Austin FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 8
3 Columbus Crew 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
4 Real Salt Lake 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
5 Los Angeles FC 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
6 Charlotte FC 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
7 Portland Timbers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 FC Cincinnati 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 FC Dallas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
10 San Diego FC 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
11 Orlando City 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
12 Minnesota United 3 1 0 2 4:3 4
13 Nashville SC 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Inter Miami 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
15 New York City 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
16 Seattle Sounders 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
17 Philadelphia Union 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
18 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)