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Austin FC vs San Antonio FC

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Austin FC play San Antonio FC in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Austin FC averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. San Antonio FC averaged 1.48 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Austin FC won 1, San Antonio FC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 23, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Austin FC and 1.69 for San Antonio FC. This points to a San Antonio FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Austin FC
30%
Draws
46%
San Antonio FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Antonio FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Austin FC picked up more points recently compared to San Antonio FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 13%
San Antonio FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin FC San Antonio FC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 15
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Austin FC vs San Antonio FC
0:0
Apr 21, 2022 US Open Cup
San Antonio FC vs Austin FC
2:1
Apr 10, 2021 Club Friendly
Austin FC vs San Antonio FC
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC 24 / 100
San Antonio FC 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin FC San Antonio FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Antonio FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Austin FC attacking → ← attacking San Antonio FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austin FC scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

San Antonio FC let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Austin FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

San Antonio FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 55
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50