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Australia U17 vs Iraq U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2026
Australia U17 Logo

Australia U17

3 - 3
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Iraq U17 Logo

Iraq U17

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 tie, finishing 3-3. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Australia U17
20%
Draws
46%
Iraq U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iraq U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Australia U17 have won more games recently than Iraq U17.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Iraq U17 taking it.
  • Australia U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Australia U17 Clean Sheet 12%
Iraq U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U17 Iraq U17
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 16 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.77 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U17
Australia U17 vs Iraq U17
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U17 11 / 100
Iraq U17 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U17 Iraq U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraq U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Australia U17 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Iraq U17 has conceded goals in 58% of their last 19 outings.

Solid form: Australia U17 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Australia U17 VS Iraq U17
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia U17

(Home)
11 Jul
Tanzania U17
5 : 3
Australia U17
08 Jul
Australia U17
4 : 2
Nigeria U17
05 Jul
China U17
3 : 0
Australia U17
19 May
China U17
2 : 0
Australia U17
16 May
Vietnam U17
0 : 3
Australia U17
Page 1 of 6

Iraq U17

(Away)
30 Nov
Australia U17
3 : 3
Iraq U17
28 Nov
Iraq U17
1 : 0
Bhutan U17
26 Nov
Iraq U17
2 : 2
Jordan U17
22 Nov
Philippines U17
2 : 3
Iraq U17
27 Oct
Uzbekistan U17
1 : 0
Iraq U17
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U17 5 5 0 0 42:0 15
2 Bangladesh U17 5 4 0 1 20:5 12
3 Bahrain U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
4 Timor-Leste U17 5 2 0 3 4:23 6
5 Sri Lanka U17 5 1 0 4 6:17 3
6 Brunei U17 5 0 0 5 0:36 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen U17 5 5 0 0 24:3 15
2 Laos U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
3 Pakistan U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
4 Kyrgyzstan U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
5 Cambodia U17 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
6 Guam U17 5 0 0 5 1:43 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U17 5 5 0 0 30:0 15
2 Malaysia U17 5 4 0 1 21:5 12
3 Hong Kong U17 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
4 Singapore U17 5 1 2 2 5:11 5
5 Macau U17 5 1 1 3 3:12 4
6 Northern Mariana Islands U17 5 0 0 5 1:35 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India U17 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
2 Iran U17 4 2 1 1 10:4 7
3 Lebanon U17 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
4 Palestine U17 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
5 Chinese Taipei U17 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U17 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
2 Iraq U17 4 2 2 0 9:7 8
3 Jordan U17 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
4 Bhutan U17 4 0 1 3 0:9 1
5 Philippines U17 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U17 4 3 0 1 16:4 9
2 Turkmenistan U17 4 3 0 1 15:5 9
3 Kuwait U17 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
4 Mongolia U17 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Maldives U17 4 0 0 4 1:19 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar U17 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Oman U17 4 3 0 1 12:3 9
3 Syria U17 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
4 Afghanistan U17 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
5 Nepal U17 4 0 0 4 2:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)