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Australia U19 vs Malaysia U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship U19 2024 Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya
Mon, Jul 29, 2024
2 - 1
08:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Younis M.
73' Event
Najdovski J.
Own Goal
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Australia U19 in this ASEAN Championship U19 2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Australia U19
15%
Draws
27%
Malaysia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Australia U19 at 3.04 per game, Malaysia U19 at 2.9.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Australia U19 taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Malaysia U19, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Australia U19 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Australia U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Malaysia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U19 Malaysia U19
Matches Played 25 31
Wins 19 19
Draws 3 4
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 3.04 2.9
Goals Conceded 0.96 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2024 ASEAN Championship U19
Australia U19 vs Malaysia U19
2:1
Aug 19, 2019 ASEAN Championship U19
Malaysia U19 vs Australia U19
0:1
Aug 13, 2019 ASEAN Championship U19
Australia U19 vs Malaysia U19
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Australia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Younis M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Malaysia U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U19 83 / 100
Malaysia U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U19 Malaysia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Australia U19's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Australia U19 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Difficult form: Malaysia U19 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Australia U19 VS Malaysia U19
1.88 Goals Scored 3.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia U19

(Home)
13 Jun
Thailand U19
0 : 2
Australia U19
11 Jun
Indonesia U19
0 : 1
Australia U19
09 Jun
Australia U19
2 : 2
Cambodia U19
03 Jun
Philippines U19
0 : 10
Australia U19
29 Jul
Australia U19
2 : 1
Malaysia U19
Page 1 of 5

Malaysia U19

(Away)
08 Jun
Thailand U19
3 : 2
Malaysia U19
05 Jun
Brunei U19
0 : 4
Malaysia U19
02 Jun
Malaysia U19
3 : 0
Singapore U19
29 Jul
Australia U19
2 : 1
Malaysia U19
27 Jul
Indonesia U19
1 : 0
Malaysia U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Australia U19 0
Thailand U19 1
Indonesia U19 1
Malaysia U19 0
Final
Thailand U19 0
Indonesia U19 1
Australia U19 2
Malaysia U19 1