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Australia U23 vs New Zealand U23

World World

Friendly International 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Duke M. In: Atkinson N.
Out: Duke M.
46'
Sub
Pierias D. In: Piscopo R.
Out: Pierias D.
46'
Sub
Watts C. In: McGree R.
Out: Watts C.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2021 game between Australia U23 and New Zealand U23 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Zealand U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Australia U23
6%
Draws
90%
New Zealand U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Zealand U23 come out ahead of Australia U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans New Zealand U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Australia U23 Clean Sheet 20%
New Zealand U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U23 New Zealand U23
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 16 19
Draws 9 3
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2021 Friendly International
Australia U23 vs New Zealand U23
0:2
Sep 9, 2019 Friendly International
Australia U23 vs New Zealand U23
1:1
Sep 6, 2019 Friendly International
Australia U23 vs New Zealand U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Australia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

New Zealand U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Just E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U23 10 / 100
New Zealand U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U23 New Zealand U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Australia U23 scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Australia U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: New Zealand U23 conceded in 50% of 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Australia U23 VS New Zealand U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%