Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024

North Korea U23

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the AFC Asian Cup U23 2024. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Australia U23 at 2.31 goals for, 0.77 against; North Korea U23 at 1.37 for, 1.04 against. Past meetings favor Australia U23 slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2023, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 0.91) point toward Australia U23. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Australia U23

20%

Draws

40%

North Korea U23

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

North Korea U23 haven't matched Australia U23's recent run of results.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Australia U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Australia U23 Clean Sheet 20%

North Korea U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Australia U23	North Korea U23
Matches Played	26	27
Wins	14	12
Draws	7	7
Losses	5	8
Goals Scored	2.31	1.37
Goals Conceded	0.77	1.04
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	0.91
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23

Australia U23 vs North Korea U23

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U23 36 / 100

North Korea U23 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Australia U23 North Korea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Korea U23 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Australia U23's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

North Korea U23 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Australia U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Australia U23 VS North Korea U23

3.25 Goals Scored 1.43

0.38 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 71%

50% Over 2.5 43%

38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia U23

(Home)

17 Jan

Australia U23

1 : 2

South Korea U23

14 Jan

Iraq U23

1 : 2

Australia U23

11 Jan

China U23

1 : 0

Australia U23

08 Jan

Australia U23

2 : 1

Thailand U23

09 Sept

Australia U23

0 : 0

China U23

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North Korea U23

(Away)

26 Sept

Japan U23

1 : 0

North Korea U23

23 Sept

Iran U23

1 : 4

North Korea U23

20 Sept

North Korea U23

0 : 0

United Arab Emirates U23

16 Sept

China U23

2 : 1

North Korea U23

31 Mar

North Korea U23

3 : 1

Thailand U23

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