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Australia U23 vs South Korea U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Central Coast Stadium (Polytec), Gosford
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ha Jeong-woo
19' Event
Kim Min-Soo
Own Goal
39' Event
Yoon D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Australia U23 and South Korea U23 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Korea U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Australia U23
20%
Draws
61%
South Korea U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Korea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Australia U23 haven't matched South Korea U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives South Korea U23 a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Australia U23 Clean Sheet 16%
South Korea U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U23 South Korea U23
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 14 19
Draws 8 4
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Friendly International
Australia U23 vs South Korea U23
2:2
Oct 3, 2026 Friendly International
Australia U23 vs South Korea U23
1:2
Jan 17, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Australia U23 vs South Korea U23
1:2
Jun 9, 2025 Friendly International
South Korea U23 vs Australia U23
0:2
Jun 5, 2025 Friendly International
South Korea U23 vs Australia U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Australia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

South Korea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ha Jeong-woo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U23 10 / 100
South Korea U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U23 South Korea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Korea U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Australia U23 found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

South Korea U23 has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Australia U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Australia U23 VS South Korea U23
1.33 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia U23

(Home)
06 Oct
Australia U23
2 : 2
South Korea U23
03 Oct
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
17 Jan
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
China U23
1 : 0
Australia U23
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South Korea U23

(Away)
06 Oct
Australia U23
2 : 2
South Korea U23
03 Oct
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Japan U23
03 Oct
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
30 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 1
China U23
25 Sept
South Korea U23
4 : 0
Vietnam U23
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