Sport Picks
Australia U23 vs Thailand U23
Asia
AFC Asian Cup U23 Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh 
Match Events
8'
8'
Boonlha S.
12'
12'
Maneekorn P.
29'
29'
Alagich E.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Australia U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Australia U23 have won more games recently than Thailand U23.
- Win probability leans Australia U23's way, sitting at 90%.
- Australia U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Australia U23, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Australia U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Thailand U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Australia U23 | Thailand U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.32 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 8, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Australia U23 vs Thailand U23
2:1
Jan 11, 2020 AFC Asian Cup U23
Australia U23 vs Thailand U23
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Australia U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Macallister M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Thailand U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Boonlha S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Australia U23 95 / 100
Thailand U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Australia U23 Thailand U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Australia U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Australia U23 found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Thailand U23 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Australia U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Australia U23 VS Thailand U23
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
60% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Australia U23
(Home) 17 Jan
Australia U23
1 : 2 South Korea U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2 Australia U23
11 Jan
China U23
1 : 0 Australia U23
08 Jan
Australia U23
2 : 1 Thailand U23
09 Sept
Australia U23
0 : 0 China U23
Page 1 of 6
17 Jan
Australia U23
1 : 2 South Korea U23
08 Jan
Australia U23
2 : 1 Thailand U23
09 Sept
Australia U23
0 : 0 China U23
03 Sept
Australia U23
14 : 0 Northern Mariana Islands U23
19 Mar
Australia U23
2 : 1 Croatia U21
Page 1 of 3
Thailand U23
(Away) 16 Sept
Thailand U23
3 : 2 Kyrgyzstan U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5 United Arab Emirates U23
06 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 3 South Korea U23
03 Jun
Thailand U23
1 : 1 Kyrgyzstan U23
31 Mar
North Korea U23
3 : 1 Thailand U23
Page 1 of 6
31 Mar
North Korea U23
3 : 1 Thailand U23
25 Mar
China U23
2 : 2 Thailand U23
08 Jan
Australia U23
2 : 1 Thailand U23
14 Oct
China U23
0 : 0 Thailand U23
10 Oct
China U23
3 : 1 Thailand U23
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Jordan U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:4 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Syria U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uzbekistan U23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 2 | South Korea U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Lebanon U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Iran U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Australia U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 2 | China U23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | 5 |
| 3 | Iraq U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 4 | Thailand U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)
