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Australia U23 W vs Poland U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Värendsvallen
Tue, Jun 4, 2024
3 - 2
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Krezyman N.
55' Event
Wrobel N.
60' Event
Cerne A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between Australia U23 W and Poland U23 W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Australia U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Australia U23 W
6%
Draws
4%
Poland U23 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Australia U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Australia U23 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Australia U23 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Australia U23 W Clean Sheet 16%
Poland U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U23 W Poland U23 W
Matches Played 13 4
Wins 8 1
Draws 1 0
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 2.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2024 Friendly International Women
Australia U23 W vs Poland U23 W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Australia U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerne A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Margraf A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Poland U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Krezyman N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wrobel N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U23 W 84 / 100
Poland U23 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U23 W Poland U23 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poland U23 W has conceded goals in 100% of their last 4 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Australia U23 W scored in 77% of their last 13 games.

Recent resilience: Australia U23 W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Australia U23 W VS Poland U23 W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%