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Australia vs Turkey

World World

World Championship 2026 BC Place, Vancouver, BC
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Irankunda N.
Assist: Okon-Engstler P.
46'
Sub
Yilmaz B. In: Yildiz K.
Out: Yilmaz B.
61'
Sub
Irankunda N. In: Velupillay N.
Out: Irankunda N.

AI Match Summary

Australia in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Australia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Australia
28%
Draws
50%
Turkey
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Turkey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Turkey have won more games recently than Australia.
  • Model gives Turkey a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Turkey here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Australia Clean Sheet 15%
Turkey Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia Turkey
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 World Championship
Australia vs Turkey
2:0
May 24, 2004 Friendly International
Australia vs Turkey
0:1
May 21, 2004 Friendly International
Australia vs Turkey
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Australia Compare

Top Goalscorer Irankunda N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Metcalfe C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Turkey Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia 23 / 100
Turkey 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia Turkey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Australia's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Turkey has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Australia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Australia VS Turkey
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia

(Home)
03 Jul
Australia
1 : 2
Egypt
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0
Australia
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0
Australia
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0
Turkey
06 Jun
Switzerland
1 : 1
Australia
Page 1 of 6

Turkey

(Away)
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2
USA
20 Jun
Turkey
0 : 1
Paraguay
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0
Turkey
06 Jun
Venezuela
1 : 2
Turkey
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0
North Macedonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico33006:09
2South Africa31112:34
3South Korea31022:33
4Czech Republic30122:61
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland32107:37
2Canada31118:34
3Bosnia & Herzegovina31115:64
4Qatar30122:101
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brazil32107:17
2Morocco32106:37
3Scotland31021:43
4Haiti30032:80
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USA32018:46
2Australia31112:24
3Paraguay31112:44
4Turkey31023:53
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany320110:46
2Ivory Coast32014:26
3Ecuador31112:24
4Curacao30121:91
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands321010:47
2Japan31207:35
3Sweden31117:74
4Tunisia30032:120
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium31206:25
2Egypt31205:35
3Iran30303:33
4New Zealand30124:101
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain32105:07
2Cape Verde30302:23
3Uruguay30213:42
4Saudi Arabia30211:52
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France330010:29
2Norway32018:76
3Senegal31028:63
4Iraq30031:120
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Argentina33008:19
2Austria31116:64
3Algeria31115:74
4Jordan30033:80
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colombia32104:17
2Portugal31206:15
3D.R. Congo31114:34
4Uzbekistan30032:110
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Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England32106:27
2Croatia32015:56
3Ghana31112:24
4Panama30030:40
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Ranking of third-placed teams