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Australia vs Turkey

World World

World Championship 2026 BC Place, Vancouver, BC
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Irankunda N.
Assist: Okon-Engstler P.
46'
Sub
Yilmaz B. In: Yildiz K.
Out: Yilmaz B.
61'
Sub
Irankunda N. In: Velupillay N.
Out: Irankunda N.

AI Match Summary

Australia in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Australia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Australia
20%
Draws
44%
Turkey
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turkey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Turkey have won more games recently than Australia.
  • Model gives Australia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Turkey here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Australia Clean Sheet 20%
Turkey Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia Turkey
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 17
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.62 1.85
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 World Championship
Australia vs Turkey
2:0
May 24, 2004 Friendly International
Australia vs Turkey
0:1
May 21, 2004 Friendly International
Australia vs Turkey
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Australia Compare

Top Goalscorer Irankunda N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Metcalfe C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Turkey Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia 42 / 100
Turkey 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia Turkey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Australia's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Turkey has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Australia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Australia VS Turkey
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia

(Home)
25 Sept
Australia
1 : 1
Brazil
03 Jul
Australia
1 : 2
Egypt
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0
Australia
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0
Australia
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0
Turkey
Page 1 of 6

Turkey

(Away)
25 Sept
Turkey
0 : 1
France
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2
USA
20 Jun
Turkey
0 : 1
Paraguay
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0
Turkey
06 Jun
Venezuela
1 : 2
Turkey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 2:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Turkey 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Curacao 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 10:4 7
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 7:3 5
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 4:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Cape Verde 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 1:5 2
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 8:7 6
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 8:6 3
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
3 D.R. Congo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams