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Australia W vs North Korea W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women HBF Park, Perth
Australia W Logo

Australia W

2 - 1
FT
North Korea W Logo

North Korea W

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kennedy A.
47' Event
Kerr S.
51'
Sub
Kim Song-Gyong In: Ri Hak
Out: Kim Song-Gyong
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Australia W
15%
Draws
45%
North Korea W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Korea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Australia W have managed 2.1 goals a game lately — North Korea W are scoring more at 5.07.
  • Model gives North Korea W a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Australia W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Australia W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Australia W Clean Sheet 10%
North Korea W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia W North Korea W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 20
Draws 2 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.1 5.07
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Asian Cup Women
Australia W vs North Korea W
2:1
Mar 7, 2016 Olympic Games Women
North Korea W vs Australia W
1:2
Feb 10, 2015 Friendly International Women
North Korea W vs Australia W
1:2
May 30, 2010 Asian Cup Women
Australia W vs North Korea W
2:1
Jun 5, 2008 Asian Cup Women
North Korea W vs Australia W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Australia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kennedy A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerr S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

North Korea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chae Un-Yong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia W 10 / 100
North Korea W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia W North Korea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Korea W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Australia W scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Australia W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

North Korea W has conceded goals in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Australia W VS North Korea W
2.25 Goals Scored 4.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia W

(Home)
09 Jun
Australia W
3 : 1
Mexico W
06 Jun
Australia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
15 Apr
Kenya W
0 : 2
Australia W
11 Apr
Australia W
5 : 0
Malawi W
21 Mar
Japan W
1 : 0
Australia W
Page 1 of 6

North Korea W

(Away)
02 Oct
North Korea W
2 : 3
Japan W
29 Sept
North Korea W
2 : 0
China W
25 Sept
North Korea W
5 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
21 Sept
South Korea W
1 : 1
North Korea W
17 Sept
Myanmar W
0 : 8
North Korea W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
South Korea W 6
Uzbekistan W 0
Japan W 7
Philippines W 0
China W 2
Chinese Taipei W 0
Australia W 2
North Korea W 1
Semi-finals
South Korea W 1
Japan W 4
China W 1
Australia W 2
Final
Japan W 1
Australia W 0