Sport Picks
Australia W vs South Korea W
Asia
Asian Cup Women Accor Stadium, Sydney 
Match Events
13'
13'
Mun Eun-Ju
Assist: Jeon Yu-Gyeong
19'
19'
Sub
Catley S. In: Nevin C.
Out: Catley S.
32'
32'
Kennedy A.
Assist: Fowler M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-3. The second leg ended 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
15%
50%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Korea W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Australia W carry the better recent record into this one.
- South Korea W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Australia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Australia W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Australia W Clean Sheet 10%
South Korea W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Australia W | South Korea W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 19 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 3.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.42 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Asian Cup Women
Australia W vs South Korea W
3:3
Apr 7, 2025 Friendly International Women
Australia W vs South Korea W
2:0
Apr 4, 2025 Friendly International Women
Australia W vs South Korea W
1:0
Jan 30, 2022 Asian Cup Women
Australia W vs South Korea W
0:1
Mar 3, 2019 Friendly International Women
Australia W vs South Korea W
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Australia W Compare
Top Goalscorer Kennedy A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kerr S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
South Korea W Compare
Top Goalscorer Mun Eun-Ju
1 Goals Assists Leader Kang Chae-Rim
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.2
Avg xA / game 1.34
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Australia W 14 / 100
South Korea W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Australia W South Korea W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick South Korea W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Australia W found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Australia W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
South Korea W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Australia W VS South Korea W
2 Goals Scored 4.13
0.71 Goals Conceded 2
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 88%
29% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Australia W
(Home) 09 Jun
Australia W
3 : 1 Mexico W
06 Jun
Australia W
0 : 1 Mexico W
15 Apr
Kenya W
0 : 2 Australia W
11 Apr
Australia W
5 : 0 Malawi W
21 Mar
Japan W
1 : 0 Australia W
Page 1 of 7
09 Jun
Australia W
3 : 1 Mexico W
06 Jun
Australia W
0 : 1 Mexico W
11 Apr
Australia W
5 : 0 Malawi W
13 Mar
Australia W
2 : 1 North Korea W
08 Mar
Australia W
3 : 3 South Korea W
Page 1 of 5
South Korea W
(Away) 25 Sept
South Korea W
6 : 3 Uzbekistan W
21 Sept
South Korea W
1 : 1 North Korea W
17 Sept
Bangladesh W
0 : 6 South Korea W
14 Sept
South Korea W
5 : 0 Myanmar W
09 Jun
South Korea W
5 : 3 Chinese Taipei W
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Bangladesh W
0 : 6 South Korea W
05 Jun
Macau W
0 : 13 South Korea W
14 Apr
Canada W
3 : 1 South Korea W
12 Apr
Brazil W
5 : 1 South Korea W
08 Mar
Australia W
3 : 3 South Korea W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Korea W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Australia W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Philippines W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Iran W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 2 | North Korea W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Uzbekistan W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Bangladesh W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Chinese Taipei W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Vietnam W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 4 | India W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:16 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
