Sport Picks

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Austria U18 vs Finland U18

World World

Friendly International 2024
Sun, Nov 17, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Austria U18 host Finland U18 in the Friendly International 2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Austria U18 have averaged 1.58 scored and 1.23 conceded recently, against Finland U18's 1.65 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Austria U18 have won 3 to Finland U18's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 17, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.92 vs 1.08, favoring Austria U18. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Austria U18
30%
Draws
58%
Finland U18
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Finland U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Austria U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Finland U18 a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Austria U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Finland U18 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austria U18 Finland U18
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.58 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2024 Friendly International
Austria U18 vs Finland U18
0:0
Nov 15, 2024 Friendly International
Austria U18 vs Finland U18
0:0
Nov 17, 2023 Friendly International
Austria U18 vs Finland U18
3:1
Nov 15, 2023 Friendly International
Austria U18 vs Finland U18
5:2
Mar 26, 2023 Friendly International
Finland U18 vs Austria U18
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austria U18 16 / 100
Finland U18 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austria U18 Finland U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austria U18 scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: Finland U18 conceded in 77% of 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Austria U18 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austria U18 VS Finland U18
1.13 Goals Scored 1.29
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.71
50% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Austria U18

(Home)
13 Feb
Portugal U18
1 : 1
Austria U18
10 Feb
Portugal U18
1 : 0
Austria U18
22 Mar
Sweden U18
2 : 0
Austria U18
20 Mar
Germany U18
1 : 1
Austria U18
19 Jan
Portugal U18
3 : 2
Austria U18
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Finland U18

(Away)
09 Jun
Finland U18
3 : 1
Norway U18
06 Jun
Finland U18
3 : 1
Turkey U18
04 Jun
Ukraine U18
0 : 0
Finland U18
15 Nov
Denmark U18
1 : 2
Finland U18
13 Nov
Denmark U18
2 : 1
Finland U18
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