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Stadium Background

Austria U18 vs Italy U18

World World

Friendly International 2024 Waldarena, Velden
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Spalt Y.
45'
Sub
Breinesberger C. In: Ilk J.
Out: Breinesberger C.
45'
Sub
Kurz M. In: Schillinger F.
Out: Kurz M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Austria U18 and Italy U18 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Austria U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Austria U18
15%
Draws
48%
Italy U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Italy U18 haven't matched Austria U18's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Austria U18 Clean Sheet 19%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austria U18 Italy U18
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Friendly International
Austria U18 vs Italy U18
1:0
Oct 10, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Austria U18
0:2
Mar 24, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Austria U18
2:0
Mar 21, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Austria U18
2:1
Mar 25, 2022 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Austria U18
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austria U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Spalt Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Italy U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austria U18 32 / 100
Italy U18 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austria U18 Italy U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austria U18 scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Italy U18 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Austria U18 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austria U18 VS Italy U18
1.2 Goals Scored 1
1.6 Goals Conceded 1
80% Over 1.5 50%
60% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Austria U18

(Home)
27 Sept
Ukraine U18
4 : 1
Austria U18
25 Sept
Austria U18
2 : 1
Japan U18
23 Sept
France U18
1 : 2
Austria U18
13 Feb
Portugal U18
1 : 1
Austria U18
10 Feb
Portugal U18
1 : 0
Austria U18
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Italy U18

(Away)
29 Sept
Italy U18
3 : 1
Denmark U18
26 Sept
Chile U17
1 : 2
Italy U18
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Tunisia U21
26 Aug
Kosovo U21
0 : 3
Italy U18
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