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Stadium Background

Austria vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

World World

World Championship 2026 Ernst Happel Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Tabakovic H.
Assist: Memic A.
43'
Laimer K.
45'
Laimer K.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Austria and Bosnia & Herzegovina finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Austria
39%
Draws
31%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Bosnia & Herzegovina haven't matched Austria's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Austria Clean Sheet 20%
Bosnia & Herzegovina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austria Bosnia & Herzegovina
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 World Championship
Austria vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1:1
Sep 9, 2025 World Championship
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Austria
1:2
Nov 15, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Austria vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
0:0
Sep 11, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Austria
1:0
Mar 31, 2015 Friendly International
Austria vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austria Compare

Top Goalscorer Gregoritsch M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bosnia & Herzegovina Compare

Top Goalscorer Tabakovic H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austria 31 / 100
Bosnia & Herzegovina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austria Bosnia & Herzegovina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austria scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Bosnia & Herzegovina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Austria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austria VS Bosnia & Herzegovina
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany650116:315
2Slovakia64026:812
3Northern Ireland63037:69
4Luxembourg60061:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland642014:214
2Kosovo63216:511
3Slovenia60423:84
4Sweden60244:122
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scotland641113:713
2Denmark632116:711
3Greece621310:127
4Belarus60244:172
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France651016:416
2Ukraine631210:1110
3Iceland621313:117
4Azerbaijan60153:161
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain651021:216
2Turkey641117:1213
3Georgia61057:153
4Bulgaria61053:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal641120:713
2Ireland63129:710
3Hungary622211:108
4Armenia61053:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands862027:420
2Poland852114:717
3Finland83148:1410
4Malta81254:195
5Lithuania80356:153
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria861122:419
2Bosnia & Herzegovina852117:717
3Romania841319:1013
4Cyprus822411:118
5San Marino80082:390
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway880037:524
2Italy860221:1218
3Israel840419:2012
4Estonia81168:214
5Moldova80175:321
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium853029:718
2Wales851221:1116
3North Macedonia834113:1013
4Kazakhstan82249:138
5Liechtenstein80080:310
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England880022:024
2Albania84227:514
3Serbia84139:1013
4Latvia81255:155
5Andorra80173:161
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia871026:422
2Czech Republic851218:816
3Faroe Islands840411:912
4Montenegro83058:179
5Gibraltar80083:280