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Austria vs South Korea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Ernst Happel Stadion, Vienna
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Kim Ju-Sung In: Kim Tae-Hyeon
Out: Kim Ju-Sung
29'
Lienhart P.
46'
Sub
Wimmer P. In: Posch S.
Out: Wimmer P.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Austria and South Korea finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Austria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Austria
30%
Draws
33%
South Korea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Austria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • South Korea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Austria Clean Sheet 17%
South Korea Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austria South Korea
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.17 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
Austria vs South Korea
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austria Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabitzer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

South Korea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austria 30 / 100
South Korea 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austria South Korea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austria's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Austria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

South Korea has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Austria VS South Korea
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Austria

(Home)
04 Oct
Kosovo
1 : 1
Austria
01 Oct
Ireland
2 : 2
Austria
27 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Kosovo
24 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Israel
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0
Austria
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South Korea

(Away)
06 Oct
South Korea
2 : 0
Uzbekistan
02 Oct
South Korea
0 : 0
Venezuela
28 Sept
South Korea
1 : 4
Uruguay
24 Sept
South Korea
3 : 0
Ecuador
25 Jun
South Africa
1 : 0
South Korea
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