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Austria Vienna vs Debrecen

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 4, 2026
1 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Austria Vienna play Debrecen in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Austria Vienna averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Debrecen averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Austria Vienna won 0, Debrecen won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Austria Vienna and 1.63 for Debrecen. This points to a Austria Vienna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Austria Vienna
22%
Draws
37%
Debrecen
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Austria Vienna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Austria Vienna picked up more points recently compared to Debrecen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Austria Vienna Clean Sheet 14%
Debrecen Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austria Vienna Debrecen
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Austria Vienna vs Debrecen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austria Vienna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Debrecen Compare

Top Goalscorer Baldoni S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austria Vienna 40 / 100
Debrecen 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austria Vienna Debrecen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Austria Vienna or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Austria Vienna attacking → ← attacking Debrecen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austria Vienna scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Debrecen let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Austria Vienna went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Debrecen lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 40
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25