Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja

Europe Europe

Conference League Generali Arena, Vienna
Thu, Jul 30, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Conference League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. FK Liepaja have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Austria Vienna have conceded 0.38 and scored 2.13. Head-to-head, Austria Vienna have won 1 to FK Liepaja's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 23, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.75 - 0.88) back Austria Vienna to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Austria Vienna
6%
Draws
4%
FK Liepaja
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Austria Vienna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Austria Vienna have won more games recently than FK Liepaja.
  • Win probability leans Austria Vienna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Austria Vienna have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Austria Vienna Clean Sheet 68%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austria Vienna FK Liepaja
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Conference League
FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austria Vienna 95 / 100
FK Liepaja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austria Vienna FK Liepaja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austria Vienna scored in 96% of their last 27 games.

Solid form: Austria Vienna remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

FK Liepaja let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Austria Vienna VS FK Liepaja
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Austria Vienna

(Home)
26 Jul
Wiener
0 : 5
Austria Vienna
23 Jul
FK Liepaja
0 : 2
Austria Vienna
17 Jul
Austria Vienna
4 : 1
Paks
08 Jul
Austria Vienna
1 : 1
Dun. Streda
04 Jul
Austria Vienna
1 : 1
Debrecen
Page 1 of 6

FK Liepaja

(Away)
26 Jul
Jelgava
0 : 2
FK Liepaja
23 Jul
FK Liepaja
0 : 2
Austria Vienna
15 Jul
Decic
1 : 2
FK Liepaja
11 Jul
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
09 Jul
FK Liepaja
1 : 0
Decic
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tre Fiori-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Floriana-
TBD-
TBD-
Drita-
Borac Banja Luka-
TBD-
TBD-
Petrocub Hincesti-
ML Vitebsk-
TBD-
TBD-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter Escaldes-
Vardar-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
Bissen-
TBD-
TBD-
Gyor-
Basaksehir-
TBD-
FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
Vaduz-
TBD-
Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Partizan-
TBD-
UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
FK Panevezys-
TBD-
TBD-
Tobol-
Paks-
TBD-
TBD-
Panathinaikos-
Spartak Trnava-
TBD-
TBD-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
Vojvodina-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajax-
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju3
Linfield2
FCSB-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Aluminij-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana4
FC Astana2
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
TBD-
Sion-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
TBD-
TBD-
Braga-
Neftci Baku-
TBD-
Din. Minsk2
Sileks1
Valur-
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Zrinjski-
GAIS-
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Nordsjaelland-
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Hapoel Tel Aviv-
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Ludogorets-
Zilina-
TBD-
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GKS Katowice-
AEK Larnaca-
TBD-
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Decic1
FK Liepaja3
TBD-
Austria Vienna-
Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
TBD-
CFR Cluj-
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Universitatea Cluj-
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Brann-
Dila Gori3
Virtus2
TBD-
Apollon Limassol-
Lugano-
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Dukagjini-
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
TBD-
Koper-
Rakow Czestochowa-
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Valletta-
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HJK-
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Coleraine-
Motherwell-
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HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
TBD-
Hibernian-
Bravo-
TBD-
Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
IFK Goteborg-
TBD-
Caernarfon0
Levadia10
LNZ Cherkasy-
TBD-
TBD-
Gent-
FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
TBD-
Rapid Vienna-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Debrecen-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
Polissya Zhytomyr-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Copenhagen-
Varazdin-
TBD-
TBD-
Jablonec-
Glentoran1
RFS4
TBD-
Vestri-
Rijeka-
TBD-
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Derry City-
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
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Dun. Streda-
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Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
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Quarter-finals
Tre Fiori-
TBD-
Floriana2
Drita3
Borac Banja Luka3
Petrocub Hincesti0
ML Vitebsk3
Sutjeska0
Flora1
TNS0
TBD-
Inter Escaldes-
Vardar4
Riga FC8
Bissen2
Gyor6
Basaksehir1
Inter Turku1
Vaduz4
Atletic Escaldes0
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Zalgiris0
TBD-
TBD-
Partizan4
UNA Strassen0
FK Panevezys1
Tobol1
Paks1
Panathinaikos2
Spartak Trnava0
CSKA 1948 Sofia1
Vojvodina1
Ajax4
Shelbourne5
Kalju2
FCSB2
FK Auda Riga3
Aluminij1
Dinamo Tirana1
Zimbru Chisinau1
Noah1
BATE1
Sion1
Zeleznicar Pancevo0
Braga1
Neftci Baku2
Din. Minsk4
Valur1
Zrinjski0
GAIS1
Nordsjaelland0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
Ludogorets0
Zilina2
GKS Katowice1
AEK Larnaca0
Beitar Jerusalem1
FK Liepaja0
Austria Vienna2
Alashkert1
CFR Cluj1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Universitatea Cluj2
Brann2
Dila Gori0
Apollon Limassol7
Lugano1
Dukagjini0
NSI Runavik0
Koper2
Rakow Czestochowa3
Valletta1
TBD-
TBD-
HJK5
Coleraine0
Motherwell2
HB Torshavn0
Malisheva2
Hibernian0
Bravo2
Shkendija Tetovo1
IFK Goteborg1
Levadia2
LNZ Cherkasy0
Gent0
Paide Linnameeskond1
Zira FK0
FC Santa Coloma1
Rapid Vienna3
Bohemians2
FC Ballkani1
TBD-
TBD-
Debrecen1
Pyunik Yerevan0
Polissya Zhytomyr3
FC Copenhagen3
Varazdin3
Jablonec2
RFS4
Vestri1
Rijeka1
Derry City0
Stjarnan1
Ilves0
TBD-
TBD-
Dun. Streda1
Velez Mostar0
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Semi-finals
Tre Fiori-
Drita-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter Escaldes-
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
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CSKA 1948 Sofia-
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Apollon Limassol-
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Final
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