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Austria Vienna W vs Sturm Graz W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Generali Arena, Vienna
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Uka M.
Assist: Weilharter Y.
39' Event
Schoffel L.
Assist: Triendl L.
47' Event
Wenninger C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between Austria Vienna W and Sturm Graz W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Austria Vienna W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Austria Vienna W
20%
Draws
23%
Sturm Graz W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Austria Vienna W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Austria Vienna W come out ahead of Sturm Graz W on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Austria Vienna W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Austria Vienna W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Austria Vienna W Clean Sheet 16%
Sturm Graz W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austria Vienna W Sturm Graz W
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.56 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Austria Vienna W
0:2
May 17, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Austria Vienna W
1:2
May 9, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Austria Vienna W vs Sturm Graz W
3:1
Apr 4, 2026 OFB Cup Women
Austria Vienna W vs Sturm Graz W
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Austria Vienna W vs Sturm Graz W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austria Vienna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Uka M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schoffel L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Sturm Graz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Deutsch P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austria Vienna W 84 / 100
Sturm Graz W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austria Vienna W Sturm Graz W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austria Vienna W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austria Vienna W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Sturm Graz W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Austria Vienna W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austria Vienna W VS Sturm Graz W
2.75 Goals Scored 2.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Austria Vienna W

(Home)
04 Oct
Austria Vienna W
6 : 0
Rapid Vienna W
01 Oct
Austria Vienna W
1 : 1
Inter W
27 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Austria Vienna W
23 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Austria Vienna W
19 Sept
Austria Vienna W
2 : 0
Union Kleinmunchen W
Page 1 of 7

Sturm Graz W

(Away)
04 Oct
St. Polten W
2 : 2
Sturm Graz W
30 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Wolfsburg W
27 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Austria Vienna W
23 Sept
Wolfsburg W
6 : 1
Sturm Graz W
18 Sept
Sturm Graz W
2 : 0
Rapid Vienna W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria Vienna W 6 2 4 0 58:8 62
2 St. Polten W 6 4 2 0 72:13 60
3 Sturm Graz W 6 1 1 4 47:35 38
4 Salzburg W 6 0 3 3 37:43 31
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)