Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Austria W vs Netherlands W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Cashpoint-Arena, Altach
Austria W Logo

Austria W

1 - 3
FT
Netherlands W Logo

Netherlands W

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Hickelsberger-Fuller J.
10' Event
Kaptein W.
46'
Sub
Casparij K. In: Janssen D.
Out: Casparij K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League Women game between Austria W and Netherlands W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Netherlands W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Austria W
20%
Draws
57%
Netherlands W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Netherlands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Netherlands W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Netherlands W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Netherlands W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Austria W Clean Sheet 12%
Netherlands W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austria W Netherlands W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.14 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Austria W vs Netherlands W
1:3
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Netherlands W vs Austria W
3:1
Feb 21, 2023 Friendly International Women
Austria W vs Netherlands W
0:4
Feb 17, 2023 Friendly International Women
Netherlands W vs Austria W
1:2
Oct 19, 2017 Friendly International Women
Austria W vs Netherlands W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hickelsberger-Fuller J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Netherlands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaptein W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van de Donk D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austria W 14 / 100
Netherlands W 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austria W Netherlands W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Austria W scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Netherlands W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Austria W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Austria W VS Netherlands W
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Austria W

(Home)
09 Jun
Norway W
2 : 1
Austria W
05 Jun
Austria W
1 : 0
Slovenia W
18 Apr
Austria W
0 : 0
Germany W
14 Apr
Germany W
5 : 1
Austria W
07 Mar
Slovenia W
1 : 0
Austria W
Page 1 of 6

Netherlands W

(Away)
09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1
Poland W
05 Jun
Ireland W
3 : 2
Netherlands W
18 Apr
France W
1 : 1
Netherlands W
14 Apr
Netherlands W
2 : 1
France W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1
Ireland W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 26:4 16
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
3 Austria W 6 2 0 4 5:16 6
4 Scotland W 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 6 0 0 14:2 18
2 Norway W 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
3 Iceland W 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
4 Switzerland W 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
2 England W 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
3 Belgium W 6 2 0 4 9:16 6
4 Portugal W 6 1 1 4 5:21 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 6 3 3 0 13:6 12
2 Italy W 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
3 Denmark W 6 3 0 3 8:13 9
4 Wales W 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)