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Auto Esporte vs EC de Patos

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2024
Wed, Oct 9, 2024
1 - 0
11:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Auto Esporte advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Auto Esporte
20%
Draws
42%
EC de Patos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EC de Patos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Auto Esporte haven't matched EC de Patos's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Auto Esporte a 38% chance of winning this.
  • EC de Patos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor EC de Patos, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Auto Esporte Clean Sheet 68%
EC de Patos Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auto Esporte EC de Patos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 10 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Paraibano
Auto Esporte vs EC de Patos
2:3
Oct 9, 2024 Paraibano 2
Auto Esporte vs EC de Patos
1:0
Sep 19, 2024 Paraibano 2
Auto Esporte vs EC de Patos
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auto Esporte 59 / 100
EC de Patos 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auto Esporte EC de Patos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auto Esporte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Auto Esporte scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: EC de Patos conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Auto Esporte has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Auto Esporte VS EC de Patos
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Auto Esporte

(Home)
23 Sept
Auto Esporte
0 : 0
Cruzeiro-PB
20 Sept
Spartax
2 : 2
Auto Esporte
16 Sept
Auto Esporte
2 : 0
Santa Rita
12 Sept
Femar
1 : 2
Auto Esporte
22 Feb
Serra Branca
5 : 1
Auto Esporte
Page 1 of 6

EC de Patos

(Away)
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
13 Feb
Treze PB
3 : 1
EC de Patos
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
EC de Patos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Spartax 1
Picuiense 2
Auto Esporte -
TBD -
Queimadense 2
Cruzeiro-PB 4
EC de Patos -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Picuiense 0
Auto Esporte 4
Cruzeiro-PB 2
EC de Patos 3
Final
Auto Esporte 1
EC de Patos 0