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Autol vs San Marcial

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Reinaldo A.
79' Event
Hafidh Bouklata A.
84' Event
Hafidh Bouklata A.

AI Match Summary

San Marcial in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Marcial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Autol
35%
Draws
32%
San Marcial
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • San Marcial have won more games recently than Autol.
  • Win probability leans San Marcial's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Autol Clean Sheet 10%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Autol San Marcial
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.47 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs San Marcial
0:4
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Autol
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Autol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

San Marcial Compare

Top Goalscorer Reinaldo A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hafidh Bouklata A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Autol 14 / 100
San Marcial 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Autol San Marcial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Marcial Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

San Marcial let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Autol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Autol found the back of the net in 30% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Autol VS San Marcial
0.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Autol

(Home)
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
03 May
UD Logrones B
8 : 0
Autol
26 Apr
Autol
0 : 0
Oyonesa
19 Apr
Pradejon
1 : 0
Autol
12 Apr
Autol
1 : 1
Anguiano
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San Marcial

(Away)
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2
Anguiano
03 May
Haro Deportivo
0 : 0
San Marcial
26 Apr
San Marcial
4 : 3
Agoncillo
18 Apr
Villegas
2 : 2
San Marcial
12 Apr
San Marcial
0 : 4
CD Calahorra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)