Sport Picks
Auxerre vs Chateauroux - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
World
Club Friendly 
AI Match Summary
Auxerre host Chateauroux in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Chateauroux have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Auxerre have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.54. Past meetings favor Auxerre slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 21, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.66 vs 0.64, favoring Auxerre. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Auxerre have won more games recently than Chateauroux.
- Win probability leans Auxerre's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Auxerre | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Chateauroux conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Auxerre's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Auxerre went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
