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Auxerre W vs Nice W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Palin J.
48' Event
Laurier E.
90' Event
Yetna M.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Auxerre W and Nice W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nice W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Auxerre W
20%
Draws
38%
Nice W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Auxerre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auxerre W come out ahead of Nice W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Auxerre W Clean Sheet 14%
Nice W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre W Nice W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.6 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Nice W
2:0
May 17, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Nice W
0:3
Feb 1, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Nice W vs Auxerre W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auxerre W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Nice W Compare

Top Goalscorer Palin J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Laurier E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre W 30 / 100
Nice W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre W Nice W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auxerre W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auxerre W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Nice W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Auxerre W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre W VS Nice W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre W

(Home)
04 Oct
Auxerre W
0 : 1
Roubaix W
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
Page 1 of 6

Nice W

(Away)
04 Oct
Nice W
1 : 0
Bourges 18 W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Nice W
1 : 1
Cannes W
29 Aug
Nice W
3 : 2
Lille W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)