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Auxerre W vs Reims W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-0, with Auxerre W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Auxerre W
15%
Draws
37%
Reims W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Auxerre W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Auxerre W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Auxerre W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Reims W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Auxerre W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Auxerre W Clean Sheet 11%
Reims W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre W Reims W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.61 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Reims W
1:2
Dec 10, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Reims W
6:0
Oct 4, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Reims W vs Auxerre W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre W 35 / 100
Reims W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre W Reims W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auxerre W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Reims W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Auxerre W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre W VS Reims W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.6
2 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 60%
63% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre W

(Home)
04 Oct
Auxerre W
0 : 1
Roubaix W
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
Page 1 of 7

Reims W

(Away)
24 May
Reims W
3 : 1
Lille W
17 May
Rodez AF W
0 : 0
Reims W
02 May
Reims W
0 : 2
Thonon Evian W
25 Apr
Reims W
4 : 1
Metz W
04 Apr
Saint-Malo W
2 : 1
Reims W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Metz W 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Strasbourg W 4 2 0 2 4:9 6
4 Auxerre W 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Reims W 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thonon Evian W 3 3 0 0 4:2 8
2 Nice W 3 1 0 2 5:2 4
3 St Etienne W 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 7:4 8
2 Montpellier W 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toulouse W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Rodez AF W 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Fleury 91 W 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Le Mans W 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Lille W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nantes W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
2 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Saint-Malo W 3 1 0 2 6:5 4
4 Guingamp W 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)