Sport Picks

USA

US Open Cup 2025 Lancaster Municipal Stadium, Lancaster, CA

AV Alta FC

Wed, Apr 2, 2025

2 - 1

02:30 AM

Los Angeles FC 2

Our Tip

Match Events

Sub

Santiago J. In: Walters K.

Out: Santiago J.

27'

Guerra D.

54'

Sub

Cerritos R. In: Lay O.

Out: Cerritos R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with AV Alta FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

AV Alta FC

15%

Draws

85%

Los Angeles FC 2

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Los Angeles FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Los Angeles FC 2 come out ahead of AV Alta FC on wins alone.
Win probability leans Los Angeles FC 2's way, sitting at 90%.
Los Angeles FC 2 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor AV Alta FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 10%

Los Angeles FC 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AV Alta FC	Los Angeles FC 2
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	14
Draws	5	0
Losses	14	16
Goals Scored	1.24	1.87
Goals Conceded	1.48	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2025 US Open Cup

AV Alta FC vs Los Angeles FC 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AV Alta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Alaribe E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Villalobos J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Los Angeles FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.87

Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AV Alta FC 10 / 100

Los Angeles FC 2 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AV Alta FC Los Angeles FC 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Angeles FC 2 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Angeles FC 2 has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

AV Alta FC found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Los Angeles FC 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AV Alta FC VS Los Angeles FC 2

1 Goals Scored 2.25

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AV Alta FC

(Home)

19 Sept

Forward Madison

3 : 0

AV Alta FC

13 Sept

Portland Hearts of Pine

1 : 0

AV Alta FC

06 Sept

AV Alta FC

1 : 2

One Knoxville

28 Aug

Charlotte Independence

5 : 0

AV Alta FC

23 Aug

AV Alta FC

1 : 2

FC Naples

Page 1 of 6

Los Angeles FC 2

(Away)

20 Sept

Minnesota United 2

3 : 2

Los Angeles FC 2

14 Sept

Sporting Kansas City II

1 : 5

Los Angeles FC 2

06 Sept

Los Angeles FC 2

1 : 2

Ventura County

31 Aug

San Jose Earthquakes II

3 : 2

Los Angeles FC 2

27 Aug

Vancouver Whitecaps 2

4 : 1

Los Angeles FC 2

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Louisville City -

TBD -

West Chester United 2

Loudoun United 3

Richmond Kickers 1

Virginia Dream 3

TBD -

Minnesota United -

St. Louis City -

TBD -

Sporting Kansas City II 1

Menace 2

Flatirons 1

Union Omaha 2

TBD -

San Antonio FC -

Hartford Athletic 3

New York Shockers 0

Portland Hearts of Pine 4

Faialense 0

TBD -

Rhode Island -

TBD -

New England Revolution -

Chicago Fire -

TBD -

Detroit City -

TBD -

Motown 0

Westchester SC 1

FC Cincinnati 2 0

New York Pancyprian 1

Tacoma Defiance 3

Washington AC 1

Ballard 0

Spokane Velocity 1

TBD -

Oakland Roots -

TBD -

Portland Timbers -

Sacramento Republic -

TBD -

Monterey Bay 4

International San Francisco 0

Real Monarchs 1

El Farolito 3

TBD -

San Jose Earthquakes -

Forward Madison 5

Duluth FC 1

Tulsa Athletic 0

FC Tulsa 1

TBD -

Phoenix Rising -

TBD -

Houston Dynamo -

Austin FC -

TBD -

New Mexico -

TBD -

Ventura County 7

Laguna United 0

El Paso Locomotive 5

Harpos 1

Philadelphia Union -

TBD -

Indy Eleven -

TBD -

Inter Miami II 4

Miami United 2

Miami FC 4

Naples United 1

Columbus Crew 2 4

NY Renegades 1

Lexington 5

Southern Indiana 0

TBD -

Pittsburgh Riverhounds -

TBD -

New York City -

Colorado Springs -

TBD -

Asheville City 0

Greenville Triumph 1

Appalachian FC 0

One Knoxville 3

TBD -

New York Red Bulls -

FC Dallas -

TBD -

AV Alta FC 3

Ventura 1

Los Angeles FC 2 7

Arizona FC 1

TBD -

Orange County SC -

Sarasota Paradise 1

FC Naples 2

Little Rock Rangers 1

Birmingham Legion 0

TBD -

Tampa Bay -

TBD -

Orlando City -

Nashville SC -

TBD -

Las Vegas Lights -

TBD -

Chattanooga 1

Corpus Christi FC 0

New Jersey Alliance 2

Chattanooga Red Wolves 3

Long Island 2

Charlotte Independence 3

Carolina Core 4

Soda City 2

TBD -

North Carolina FC -

TBD -

Charlotte FC -

DC United -

TBD -

Charleston -

TBD -

South Georgia Tormenta 3

Harbor City 0

Texoma FC 1

Foro 2

1/64-finals

Louisville City -

TBD -

Loudoun United 4

Virginia Dream 2

TBD -

Minnesota United -

St. Louis City -

TBD -

Menace 1

Union Omaha 2

TBD -

San Antonio FC -

Hartford Athletic 1

Portland Hearts of Pine 2

TBD -

Rhode Island -

TBD -

New England Revolution -

Chicago Fire -

TBD -

Detroit City -

TBD -

Westchester SC 3

New York Pancyprian 2

Tacoma Defiance 2

Spokane Velocity 1

TBD -

Oakland Roots -

TBD -

Portland Timbers -

Sacramento Republic -

TBD -

Monterey Bay 1

El Farolito 2

TBD -

San Jose Earthquakes -

Forward Madison 1

FC Tulsa 3

TBD -

Phoenix Rising -

TBD -

Houston Dynamo -

Austin FC -

TBD -

New Mexico -

TBD -

Ventura County 0

El Paso Locomotive 3

Philadelphia Union -

TBD -

Indy Eleven -

TBD -

Inter Miami II 0

Miami FC 1

Columbus Crew 2 3

Lexington 0

TBD -

Pittsburgh Riverhounds -

TBD -

New York City -

Colorado Springs -

TBD -

Greenville Triumph 1

One Knoxville 3

TBD -

New York Red Bulls -

FC Dallas -

TBD -

AV Alta FC 2

Los Angeles FC 2 1

TBD -

Orange County SC -

FC Naples 3

Little Rock Rangers 0

TBD -

Tampa Bay -

TBD -

Orlando City -

Nashville SC -

TBD -

Las Vegas Lights -

TBD -

Chattanooga 1

Chattanooga Red Wolves 2

Charlotte Independence 2

Carolina Core 1

TBD -

North Carolina FC -

TBD -

Charlotte FC -

DC United -

TBD -

Charleston -

TBD -

South Georgia Tormenta 3

Foro 2

1/32-finals

Louisville City 2

Loudoun United 1

TBD -

Minnesota United -

St. Louis City -

TBD -

Union Omaha 1

San Antonio FC 0

Portland Hearts of Pine 1

Rhode Island 2

TBD -

New England Revolution -

Chicago Fire -

TBD -

Detroit City 3

Westchester SC 1

Tacoma Defiance 2

Oakland Roots 1

TBD -

Portland Timbers -

Sacramento Republic 1

El Farolito 0

TBD -

San Jose Earthquakes -

FC Tulsa 1

Phoenix Rising 2

TBD -

Houston Dynamo -

Austin FC -

TBD -

New Mexico 2

El Paso Locomotive 3

Philadelphia Union -

TBD -

Indy Eleven 1

Miami FC 0

Columbus Crew 2 0

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1

TBD -

New York City -

Colorado Springs 3

One Knoxville 2

TBD -

New York Red Bulls -

FC Dallas -

TBD -

AV Alta FC 3

Orange County SC 2

FC Naples 1

Tampa Bay 2

TBD -

Orlando City -

Nashville SC -

TBD -

Las Vegas Lights 2

Chattanooga Red Wolves 3

Charlotte Independence 1

North Carolina FC 3

TBD -

Charlotte FC -

DC United -

TBD -

Charleston 4

South Georgia Tormenta 0

1/16-finals

Louisville City 0

Minnesota United 1

St. Louis City 2

Union Omaha 0

Rhode Island 1

New England Revolution 2

Chicago Fire 4

Detroit City 0

Tacoma Defiance 2

Portland Timbers 3

Sacramento Republic 1

San Jose Earthquakes 2

Phoenix Rising 1

Houston Dynamo 4

Austin FC 3

El Paso Locomotive 2

Philadelphia Union 2

Indy Eleven 1

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1

New York City 0

Colorado Springs 1

New York Red Bulls 4

FC Dallas 3

AV Alta FC 1

Tampa Bay 0

Orlando City 5

Nashville SC 1

Chattanooga Red Wolves 0

North Carolina FC 1

Charlotte FC 4

DC United 2

Charleston 0

1/8-finals

Minnesota United 3

St. Louis City 2

New England Revolution 1

Chicago Fire 3

Portland Timbers 0

San Jose Earthquakes 1

Houston Dynamo 1

Austin FC 3

Philadelphia Union 4

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1

New York Red Bulls 3

FC Dallas 2

Orlando City 2

Nashville SC 3

Charlotte FC 3

DC United 4

Quarter-finals

Minnesota United 3

Chicago Fire 1

San Jose Earthquakes 2

Austin FC 3

Philadelphia Union 3

New York Red Bulls 2

Nashville SC 5

DC United 2

Semi-finals

Minnesota United 1

Austin FC 2

Philadelphia Union 1

Nashville SC 3

Final

Austin FC 1

Nashville SC 2

AV Alta FC vs Los Angeles FC 2

USA

AV Alta FC

Los Angeles FC 2

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

AV Alta FC Compare

Los Angeles FC 2 Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

AV Alta FC

Los Angeles FC 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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