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AV Alta FC vs Spokane Velocity

USA USA

USL League One Lancaster Municipal Stadium
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Match Events

41'
Pajaro M.
46'
Sub
Pajaro M. In: Ceja E.
Out: Pajaro M.
46'
Sub
Antwi G. In: Higareda S.
Out: Antwi G.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between AV Alta FC and Spokane Velocity finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AV Alta FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
AV Alta FC
22%
Draws
18%
Spokane Velocity
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: AV Alta FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Spokane Velocity carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on AV Alta FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 20%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AV Alta FC Spokane Velocity
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Spokane Velocity
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs AV Alta FC
3:1
Aug 10, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs AV Alta FC
2:0
Jun 8, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Spokane Velocity
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Spokane Velocity
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AV Alta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Spokane Velocity Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AV Alta FC 58 / 100
Spokane Velocity 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AV Alta FC Spokane Velocity

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AV Alta FC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Spokane Velocity conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: AV Alta FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AV Alta FC VS Spokane Velocity
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310