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AV Alta FC vs Spokane Velocity - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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USL League One Lancaster Municipal Stadium, Lancaster, CA
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Match Events

41'
Pajaro M.
46'
Sub
Pajaro M. In: Ceja E.
Out: Pajaro M.
46'
Sub
Antwi G. In: Higareda S.
Out: Antwi G.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between AV Alta FC and Spokane Velocity finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AV Alta FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
AV Alta FC
20%
Draws
80%
Spokane Velocity
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spokane Velocity

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Spokane Velocity carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Spokane Velocity taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 11%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AV Alta FC Spokane Velocity
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Spokane Velocity
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs AV Alta FC
3:1
Aug 10, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs AV Alta FC
2:0
Jun 8, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Spokane Velocity
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Spokane Velocity
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AV Alta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Spokane Velocity Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AV Alta FC 10 / 100
Spokane Velocity 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AV Alta FC Spokane Velocity

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spokane Velocity Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AV Alta FC found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Spokane Velocity conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Spokane Velocity has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AV Alta FC VS Spokane Velocity
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AV Alta FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1
AV Alta FC
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0
AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0
AV Alta FC
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2
One Knoxville
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0
AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 6

Spokane Velocity

(Away)
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3
Portland Hearts of Pine
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1
Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 29 19 4 6 53:31 61
2 Charlotte Independence 29 18 6 5 67:42 60
3 Forward Madison 29 15 7 7 50:27 52
4 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
5 Athletic Club Boise 29 14 7 8 45:39 49
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 29 11 9 9 45:37 42
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
11 Westchester SC 29 9 6 14 48:46 33
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 29 7 10 12 43:53 31
15 New York Cosmos 28 7 4 17 36:56 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
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