Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AV Alta FC vs Union Omaha

USA USA

USL League One Lancaster Municipal Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Tekiela K.
Assist: Gomez A.
17'
Relerford N.
20' Event
Botello Faz P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

AV Alta FC host Union Omaha in the USL League One. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: AV Alta FC at 1.13 goals for, 1 against; Union Omaha at 1.75 for, 1.75 against. Past meetings favor Union Omaha slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 2, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.38) point toward Union Omaha. Union Omaha in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
AV Alta FC
28%
Draws
22%
Union Omaha
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: AV Alta FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Union Omaha has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to AV Alta FC.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for AV Alta FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL League One provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 17%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AV Alta FC Union Omaha
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 USL League One
Union Omaha vs AV Alta FC
3:1
Apr 5, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Union Omaha
1:3
Aug 24, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs AV Alta FC
2:0
Jul 6, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Union Omaha
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AV Alta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Union Omaha Compare

Top Goalscorer Tekiela K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Billhardt A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AV Alta FC 48 / 100
Union Omaha 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AV Alta FC Union Omaha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AV Alta FC scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Union Omaha let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

AV Alta FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Union Omaha lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AV Alta FC VS Union Omaha
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310