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Avai B vs Tubarao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2019 Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada), Florianópolis
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Tubarao advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Avai B
15%
Draws
0%
Tubarao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avai B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tubarao come out ahead of Avai B on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Avai B taking it.
  • Tubarao arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tubarao, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Avai B Clean Sheet 20%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai B Tubarao
Matches Played 16 32
Wins 7 11
Draws 3 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Avai B vs Tubarao
0:2
Sep 18, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Tubarao vs Avai B
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai B 42 / 100
Tubarao 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai B Tubarao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tubarao lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Avai B scored in 69% of their last 16 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tubarao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tubarao
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Avai B

(Home)
10 Nov
Marcilio Dias
4 : 1
Avai B
05 Nov
Avai B
1 : 0
Marcilio Dias
31 Oct
Avai B
1 : 1
Almirante Barroso
27 Oct
Marcilio Dias
1 : 0
Avai B
23 Oct
Avai B
0 : 2
Tubarao
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Tubarao

(Away)
25 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Guarani de Palhoca
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 14 10 2 2 22:10 32
2 Brusque 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
3 Tubarao 14 6 6 2 20:13 24
4 Avai B 14 6 3 5 22:22 21
5 Fluminense-SC 14 4 5 5 25:24 17
6 Joinville 14 4 3 7 17:21 15
7 Figueirense B 14 2 4 8 14:24 10
8 Almirante Barroso 14 1 5 8 9:24 8
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2019 (Play Offs)