Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avai U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Avai U20 host Chapecoense-SC U20 in the Catarinense U20. This has Chapecoense-SC U20 written all over it on paper. Avai U20 have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Chapecoense-SC U20's 2.25 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Avai U20 slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Chapecoense-SC U20. Chapecoense-SC U20 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Avai U20
28%
Draws
50%
Chapecoense-SC U20
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Chapecoense-SC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Avai U20 haven't matched Chapecoense-SC U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Chapecoense-SC U20 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Avai U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Chapecoense-SC U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai U20 Chapecoense-SC U20
Matches Played 36 36
Wins 13 21
Draws 15 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Avai U20
1:3
Jul 2, 2025 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
1:2
Apr 16, 2025 Brasileiro U20 B
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Avai U20
0:2
Apr 13, 2025 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Avai U20
0:0
Jun 10, 2024 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Avai U20
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai U20 24 / 100
Chapecoense-SC U20 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai U20 Chapecoense-SC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai U20's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Chapecoense-SC U20 let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Avai U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avai U20 VS Chapecoense-SC U20
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barra FC U201383231:1627
2Avai U201275029:926
3Criciuma U201274121:725
4Chapecoense-SC U201272324:1823
5Concordia U201353513:1918
6Figueirense U201345419:1517
7Nacao U201343626:2215
8Carlos Renaux U201343613:2415
9Joinville U201313910:276
10Brusque U2014111214:434