Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avai U20 vs Nacao U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Carvalho R.
37' Event
Faleta Lima G.
60' Event
Caua

AI Match Summary

Avai U20 in this Catarinense U20 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avai U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Avai U20
15%
Draws
26%
Nacao U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avai U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Avai U20 lately — more wins on the board than Nacao U20.
  • Avai U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Avai U20 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Avai U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Nacao U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai U20 Nacao U20
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.94 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Avai U20
1:2
Jun 4, 2026 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Nacao U20
3:1
Jul 31, 2025 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Avai U20
3:3
Jun 4, 2025 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Nacao U20
4:0
Jun 22, 2024 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Nacao U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avai U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Carvalho R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Faleta Lima G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Nacao U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bicca M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai U20 84 / 100
Nacao U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai U20 Nacao U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avai U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nacao U20 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Avai U20 scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Recent resilience: Avai U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avai U20 VS Nacao U20
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Avai U20

(Home)
14 Aug
Barra FC U20
1 : 0
Avai U20
07 Aug
Avai U20
0 : 1
Barra FC U20
01 Aug
Figueirense U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
25 Jul
Avai U20
8 : 1
Concordia U20
22 Jul
Nacao U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
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Nacao U20

(Away)
01 Aug
Nacao U20
1 : 7
Barra FC U20
26 Jul
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Nacao U20
22 Jul
Nacao U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
17 Jul
Figueirense U20
2 : 0
Nacao U20
11 Jul
Nacao U20
2 : 1
Concordia U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)