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Avai vs Ceara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada), Florianópolis
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Sub
Reynaldo In: Jefferson Maciel
Out: Reynaldo
37'
Wenderson
37'
Romildo Del Piage

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Avai and Ceara finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ceara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Avai
30%
Draws
51%
Ceara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ceara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ceara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Ceara taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ceara have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Avai Clean Sheet 16%
Ceara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai Ceara
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs Ceara
0:1
Jun 10, 2026 Serie B
Ceara vs Avai
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie B
Ceara vs Avai
2:0
Jul 19, 2024 Serie B
Avai vs Ceara
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Serie B
Avai vs Ceara
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avai Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ceara Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Otavio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai 19 / 100
Ceara 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai Ceara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Avai found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Avai remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avai VS Ceara
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Avai

(Home)
07 Oct
Avai
2 : 1
Londrina
03 Oct
Avai
0 : 1
Ceara
27 Sept
Criciuma
3 : 0
Avai
20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1
Avai
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
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Ceara

(Away)
08 Oct
Ceara
1 : 0
Criciuma
03 Oct
Avai
0 : 1
Ceara
26 Sept
Operario-PR
2 : 2
Ceara
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Novorizontino
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Ceara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 17 8 7 37:19 59
2 Vila Nova FC 32 17 7 8 44:31 58
3 Novorizontino 32 16 9 7 54:27 57
4 Fortaleza 32 15 11 6 37:27 56
5 Criciuma 32 15 8 9 33:28 53
6 Atletico GO 32 14 10 8 40:30 52
7 CRB 32 15 6 11 49:45 51
8 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 44:34 50
9 Operario-PR 32 13 9 10 44:43 48
10 Cuiaba 32 11 14 7 32:25 47
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 32:40 45
12 Sao Bernardo 32 12 9 11 44:34 45
13 Nautico 32 11 9 12 39:40 42
14 Ceara 32 11 9 12 35:39 42
15 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 38:37 42
16 Botafogo SP 32 10 8 14 36:38 38
17 Avai 32 9 6 17 32:43 33
18 Londrina 32 7 7 18 40:47 28
19 America MG 32 4 5 23 21:53 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 17:68 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)