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Avai vs Londrina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada), Florianópolis
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Caio Suassuna
Assist: Jean L.
30'
Hyan
32' Event
Hyan

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Avai and Londrina finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Avai
15%
Draws
73%
Londrina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Londrina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Avai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Londrina are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Avai Clean Sheet 16%
Londrina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai Londrina
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs Londrina
2:1
Jun 16, 2026 Serie B
Londrina vs Avai
3:2
Oct 15, 2023 Serie B
Londrina vs Avai
1:1
Jun 24, 2023 Serie B
Avai vs Londrina
0:0
Sep 28, 2021 Serie B
Avai vs Londrina
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avai Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Suassuna
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hyan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Londrina Compare

Top Goalscorer Willian Pottker
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai 23 / 100
Londrina 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai Londrina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Londrina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Avai scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Londrina has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Difficult form: Londrina registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avai VS Londrina
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Avai

(Home)
03 Oct
Avai
0 : 1
Ceara
27 Sept
Criciuma
3 : 0
Avai
20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1
Avai
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Avai
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Londrina

(Away)
02 Oct
Londrina
0 : 2
Criciuma
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Londrina
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Fortaleza
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2
Londrina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 17 8 7 37:19 59
2 Vila Nova FC 32 17 7 8 44:31 58
3 Fortaleza 32 15 11 6 37:27 56
4 Novorizontino 31 15 9 7 52:27 54
5 Criciuma 31 15 8 8 33:27 53
6 Atletico GO 32 14 10 8 40:30 52
7 CRB 32 15 6 11 49:45 51
8 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 44:34 50
9 Operario-PR 32 13 9 10 44:43 48
10 Cuiaba 32 11 14 7 32:25 47
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 32:40 45
12 Sao Bernardo 32 12 9 11 44:34 45
13 Nautico 31 11 9 11 39:38 42
14 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 38:37 42
15 Ceara 31 10 9 12 34:39 39
16 Botafogo SP 32 10 8 14 36:38 38
17 Avai 32 9 6 17 32:43 33
18 Londrina 32 7 7 18 40:47 28
19 America MG 32 4 5 23 21:53 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 17:68 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)