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Avai vs Volta Redonda

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada), Florianópolis
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Wallison
27'
Ze Ricardo
33'
Sub
Ze Ricardo In: Paulo Vitor
Out: Ze Ricardo

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Avai
15%
Draws
64%
Volta Redonda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Volta Redonda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Avai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Avai's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Avai have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Avai, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Avai Clean Sheet 68%
Volta Redonda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai Volta Redonda
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.31 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Avai vs Volta Redonda
3:0
May 20, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Volta Redonda vs Avai
2:2
Oct 9, 2025 Serie B
Avai vs Volta Redonda
3:0
Jun 17, 2025 Serie B
Volta Redonda vs Avai
1:1
Apr 24, 2013 Copa Betano do Brasil
Avai vs Volta Redonda
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avai Compare

Top Goalscorer Wallison
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thayllon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Volta Redonda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai 59 / 100
Volta Redonda 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai Volta Redonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Avai's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Volta Redonda let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Volta Redonda's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Avai VS Volta Redonda
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Avai

(Home)
20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1
Avai
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Avai
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1
Avai
30 Aug
Avai
0 : 1
Atletico GO
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Volta Redonda

(Away)
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
22 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 2
Floresta EC
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Chapecoense-SC 4
Novorizontino 2
Avai 5
Volta Redonda 2
Final
Chapecoense-SC 3
Avai 4