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Avangard Petropavlovsk vs Energetik Pavlodar 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Avangard Petropavlovsk play Energetik Pavlodar 2 in the First Division 2006. Avangard Petropavlovsk are favorites here. Recently, Avangard Petropavlovsk averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Energetik Pavlodar 2 averaged 0.71 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. In past meetings, Avangard Petropavlovsk won 2, Energetik Pavlodar 2 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 16, 2006 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Avangard Petropavlovsk and 1.88 for Energetik Pavlodar 2. This points to a Avangard Petropavlovsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Avangard Petropavlovsk
15%
Draws
16%
Energetik Pavlodar 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avangard Petropavlovsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Avangard Petropavlovsk picked up more points recently compared to Energetik Pavlodar 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Avangard Petropavlovsk Clean Sheet 10%
Energetik Pavlodar 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avangard Petropavlovsk Energetik Pavlodar 2
Matches Played 35 24
Wins 19 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.74 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.96

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2006 First League
Energetik Pavlodar 2 vs Avangard Petropavlovsk
0:1
Jul 12, 2006 First League
Avangard Petropavlovsk vs Energetik Pavlodar 2
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avangard Petropavlovsk 64 / 100
Energetik Pavlodar 2 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avangard Petropavlovsk Energetik Pavlodar 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avangard Petropavlovsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Avangard Petropavlovsk & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.64
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Avangard Petropavlovsk attacking → ← attacking Energetik Pavlodar 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avangard Petropavlovsk scored in 83% of their last 35 games.

Energetik Pavlodar 2 let in goals in 92% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Avangard Petropavlovsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Energetik Pavlodar 2 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 14
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zhetysu Taldykorgan262510119:1476
2Kaspij Aktau26193463:2060
3Gornyak Khromtay26171840:2552
4Cesna Almaty26164664:3052
5Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty26155639:2550
6Akzhayik Uralsk26161956:3149
7Zhambyl Taraz2698935:3035
8Aktobe 2261031343:5033
9Munaily Atyrau26671325:4825
10Ordabasy 226731634:6524
11Koksu26621832:5920
12AI-Universitet26541729:5719
13Kaisar Kyzylorda 226431923:7115
14Zhastar Uralsk26332012:8912
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Avangard Petropavlovsk24163539:1951
2Asbest Zitikara24155437:1750
3Shakhter Karagandy 224128425:1244
4Spartak Semey24127546:2543
5Kazakhmys24125736:3541
6Shakhter Yunost24115841:2538
7Aksu24106832:2836
8Ertis Pavlodar 2241041038:2834
9Rakhat Astana2496927:2633
10Vostok Oskemen 224951033:3732
11Tobol 224441620:4116
12Energetik Pavlodar 224421817:4714
13Batyr Ekibastuz24202213:646