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Aveley vs East Thurrock Utd

World World

Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Clark A.
27' Event
Clark A.
51' Event
Clark A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2021 game between Aveley and East Thurrock Utd finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aveley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aveley
15%
Draws
42%
East Thurrock Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aveley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aveley come out ahead of East Thurrock Utd on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Aveley taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors East Thurrock Utd here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aveley Clean Sheet 10%
East Thurrock Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aveley East Thurrock Utd
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 2 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 2.25 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.96 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2021 Club Friendly
Aveley vs East Thurrock Utd
5:2
Apr 9, 2012 Isthmian League Premier Division
East Thurrock Utd vs Aveley
4:1
Dec 27, 2011 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs East Thurrock Utd
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Clark A.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Trialist
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

East Thurrock Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Ashman J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aveley 38 / 100
East Thurrock Utd 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aveley East Thurrock Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aveley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aveley scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

East Thurrock Utd has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

East Thurrock Utd's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aveley VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aveley

(Home)
19 Sept
Aveley
2 : 3
Brentwood
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4
Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Aveley
1 : 2
Leatherhead
04 Sept
Aveley
4 : 2
Cheshunt
31 Aug
Stanway Rovers
0 : 2
Aveley
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East Thurrock Utd

(Away)
09 Sept
AFC Dunstable
:
East Thurrock Utd
24 Sept
Cray Valley
5 : 3
East Thurrock Utd
17 Sept
East Thurrock Utd
0 : 3
Biggleswade Town
13 Sept
East Thurrock Utd
3 : 1
Sutton Common Rovers
03 Sept
East Thurrock Utd
2 : 1
Biggleswade FC
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