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Aveley vs Eastbourne Borough

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Egbri T.
48' Event
Robinson J.
82' Event
Corbett K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Isthmian League Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Aveley
20%
Draws
51%
Eastbourne Borough
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eastbourne Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Eastbourne Borough haven't matched Aveley's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Aveley Clean Sheet 10%
Eastbourne Borough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aveley Eastbourne Borough
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 19 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.12 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Eastbourne Borough
2:2
Mar 15, 2025 National League South
Aveley vs Eastbourne Borough
0:2
Aug 24, 2024 National League South
Eastbourne Borough vs Aveley
2:1
Jan 23, 2024 National League South
Eastbourne Borough vs Aveley
1:2
Aug 14, 2023 National League South
Aveley vs Eastbourne Borough
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Robinson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aromolaran T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Eastbourne Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Egbri T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corbett K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aveley 30 / 100
Eastbourne Borough 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aveley Eastbourne Borough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastbourne Borough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aveley found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (34 games).

Eastbourne Borough let in goals in 100% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Aveley remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aveley VS Eastbourne Borough
2.13 Goals Scored 1.71
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 71%
75% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Aveley

(Home)
11 Aug
Maldon & Tiptree
1 : 0
Aveley
08 Aug
Aveley
2 : 2
Eastbourne Borough
01 Aug
Southend
4 : 0
Aveley
31 Jul
Aveley
4 : 5
Tilbury
28 Jul
Canvey Island
1 : 4
Aveley
Page 1 of 7

Eastbourne Borough

(Away)
11 Aug
Eastbourne Borough
3 : 2
Three Bridges
08 Aug
Aveley
2 : 2
Eastbourne Borough
28 Jul
Tonbridge
4 : 2
Eastbourne Borough
25 Apr
Chelmsford
1 : 3
Eastbourne Borough
18 Apr
Eastbourne Borough
2 : 3
AFC Totton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leatherhead 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Carshalton 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
3 St. Albans 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
4 Dartford 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
5 Eastbourne Borough 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
6 Dulwich Hamlet 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
7 Enfield Town 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
8 Ramsgate 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
9 Burgess Hill 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
10 Brentwood 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
11 Chatham 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
12 Welling 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
13 Maldon & Tiptree 2 1 0 1 1:6 3
14 Cray Wanderers 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
15 Cheshunt 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
16 Aveley 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
17 Wingate & Finchley 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
18 Stanway Rovers 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
19 Whitehawk 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
20 Lewes 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
21 Three Bridges 2 0 0 2 4:6 0
22 Whyteleafe 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)