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Aveley vs Redbridge

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Carlyle N.
85' Event
Ogunrinde E.
90' Event
Hughes C.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Aveley and Redbridge finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aveley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aveley
6%
Draws
4%
Redbridge
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aveley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aveley carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aveley are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aveley Clean Sheet 20%
Redbridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aveley Redbridge
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Aveley vs Redbridge
4:0
Jul 12, 2021 Club Friendly
Aveley vs Redbridge
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlyle N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ogunrinde E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Redbridge Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aveley 85 / 100
Redbridge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aveley Redbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aveley found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Redbridge has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Redbridge has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aveley VS Redbridge
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aveley

(Home)
18 Jul
Aveley
3 : 2
Braintree
14 Jul
Aveley
1 : 4
Ebbsfleet
10 Jul
Aveley
2 : 4
Leiston
07 Jul
Aveley
3 : 2
Folkestone
29 Apr
Aveley
1 : 4
Brentwood
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Redbridge

(Away)
20 Jul
Redbridge
0 : 1
Welwyn Garden
11 Jul
Redbridge
0 : 3
Hornchurch
06 Sept
Redbridge
1 : 4
Waltham Abbey
30 Aug
Redbridge
1 : 2
Royston Town
25 Jul
Welwyn Garden
2 : 2
Redbridge
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