Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avellino U19 vs Perugia U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Amiranda F.
67'
Mellino C.
77' Event
Spadoni A.

AI Match Summary

Avellino U19 in this Primavera 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avellino U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Avellino U19
15%
Draws
49%
Perugia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perugia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Perugia U19 have won more games recently than Avellino U19.
  • Model gives Perugia U19 a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Avellino U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Perugia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avellino U19 Perugia U19
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 19
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.71 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Primavera 2
Avellino U19 vs Perugia U19
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Avellino U19
0:1
May 3, 2025 Primavera 2
Avellino U19 vs Perugia U19
3:1
Nov 23, 2024 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Avellino U19
2:1
Apr 21, 2018 Primavera 2
Avellino U19 vs Perugia U19
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avellino U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Amiranda F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Spadoni A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Perugia U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avellino U19 19 / 100
Perugia U19 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avellino U19 Perugia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perugia U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avellino U19's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Avellino U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Perugia U19 conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Avellino U19 VS Perugia U19
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Avellino U19

(Home)
20 Sept
Avellino U19
3 : 1
Latina U19
12 Sept
Cosenza U19
1 : 2
Avellino U19
05 Sept
Avellino U19
3 : 1
Napoli U19
16 May
Modena U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
09 May
Salernitana U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
Page 1 of 7

Perugia U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Salernitana U19
0 : 6
Perugia U19
12 Sept
Perugia U19
3 : 0
Monopoli U19
04 Sept
Pisa U19
2 : 3
Perugia U19
23 May
Perugia U19
1 : 2
Modena U19
16 May
Perugia U19
2 : 0
Reggiana U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)