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Avellino vs Castel di Sangro

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Avellino and Castel di Sangro finished 24-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avellino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Avellino
6%
Draws
4%
Castel di Sangro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Avellino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Castel di Sangro haven't matched Avellino's recent run of results.
  • Avellino are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Avellino Clean Sheet 20%
Castel di Sangro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avellino Castel di Sangro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 24.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Avellino vs Castel di Sangro
24:0
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Avellino vs Castel di Sangro
25:0
Jan 27, 2002 Lega Pro C1/B
Avellino vs Castel di Sangro
1:2
Sep 23, 2001 Lega Pro C1/B
Castel di Sangro vs Avellino
1:2
May 5, 2001 Lega Pro C1/B
Castel di Sangro vs Avellino
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avellino 85 / 100
Castel di Sangro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avellino Castel di Sangro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castel di Sangro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 11.40 goals per match.

Avellino found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Avellino has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Avellino VS Castel di Sangro
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 24
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Avellino

(Home)
28 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1
Real Forio 2014
26 Jul
Sambenedettese
0 : 5
Avellino
22 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1
Scafatese
19 Jul
Avellino
24 : 0
Castel di Sangro
12 May
Catanzaro
3 : 0
Avellino
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Castel di Sangro

(Away)
19 Jul
Avellino
24 : 0
Castel di Sangro
20 Jul
Bari
17 : 0
Castel di Sangro
19 Jul
Avellino
25 : 0
Castel di Sangro
15 May
Castel di Sangro
2 : 2
Rende
08 May
Morro d'Oro Calcio
3 : 2
Castel di Sangro
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